Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 12

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina (Khabarovsk)

Referee: Lapatukhin A. (Rus)


	SKA Khabarovsk		Kuban Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.47	4.3
	1.77	3.5	4.4	Watch
	1.72	3.45	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.71)	3.47 ↓ (3.52)	4.37 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA Khabarovsk
52%

Draw
26.7%

Kuban Krasnodar
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.3%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

22.3%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Kuban Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SKA Khabarovsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuban Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

SKA Khabarovsk - Kuban Krasnodar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Imamov I. (G) 9. Aliev S. 57. Begun D. 11. Gongapshev A. 4. Kozhemyakin O. (C) 5. Musalov M. 31. Nikitin A. 95. Petrov I. 17. Pokidyshev N. 70. Savinov A. 7. Simonyan A.	1. Nesterenko Y. (C) 87. Bezdenezhnykh I. 92. Chuperka V. 56. Fattakhov L. 36. Gruznov I. 20. Kenfack O. 17. Moseychuk I. 19. Osipov E. 73. Sharipov A. 96. Smirnov A. 37. Vedeneev M.
Substitutes
29. Charles Y. J. 88. Chavara M. 44. Kornyushin D. 19. Kutovoy M. 96. Rukas T. 33. Shipunov T. 13. Sosranov R. 8. Starodub D. 50. Sugrobov V. (G)	28. Bairyev A. 22. Bakalyuk N. 21. Kertanov K. 55. Lauk M. 9. Reichmen B. 30. Takazov S. 77. Temnikov I. 24. Ternovskiy D. (G)
Coaches
Sharonov R.	Evseev V.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches SKA Khabarovsk won 3.

Recent matches SKA Khabarovsk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kuban is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently SKA Khabarovsk have a series of home games.

In this match SKA Khabarovsk is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches SKA Khabarovsk won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-3.

Including matches at home between the teams SKA Khabarovsk won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA Khabarovsk
Russian Cup
27.09.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Sokol Saratov	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
23.09.23	Alania Vladikavkaz - SKA Khabarovsk	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Khimki	3:1 ✺
10.09.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWTL
- Kuban Krasnodar
Russian Cup
27.09.23	Amkar Perm - Kuban Krasnodar	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
23.09.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Tyumen	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Kuban Krasnodar	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Khimki - Kuban Krasnodar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
15.04.23	Kuban Krasnodar - SKA Khabarovsk	2:2
25.09.22	SKA Khabarovsk - Kuban Krasnodar	2:0
06.03.22	Kuban Krasnodar - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0
29.08.21	SKA Khabarovsk - Kuban Krasnodar	1:0
26.11.16	SKA Khabarovsk - Kuban Krasnodar	5:0
06.08.16	Kuban Krasnodar - SKA Khabarovsk	0:2

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