What is the expert prediction for Alania Vladikavkaz vs SKA Khabarovsk?

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Alania Vladikavkaz vs SKA Khabarovsk Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, May 11, 2025)

Match Info

FNL - Round 32

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak (Vladikavkaz)

Referee: Zakharov I. (Rus)


	Alania Vladikavkaz		SKA Khabarovsk

	1	X	2
	3.37	3.8	2.08
	3.27	3.62	2.09	Watch
	3.6	3.2	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (2.98)	3.54 ↑ (3.16)	2.09 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alania Vladikavkaz
27.8%

Draw
26.8%

SKA Khabarovsk
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

29.8%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

30.3%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

SKA Khabarovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SKA Khabarovsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SKA Khabarovsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - SKA Khabarovsk (1.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. SKA Khabarovsk (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Natabashvili G. (G) 19. Butaev A. 70. Daurov R. 71. Byazrov A. 58. Yshyk M. 75. Ogoev S. 18. Toboev T. 8. Khugaev A. (C) 9. Zakirov A. M. 79. Chertkoev D. 27. Gogniev R.	1. Kuznetsov A. (G) 21. Gurban G. 17. Pokidyshev N. 44. Zhuravlev Y. 91. Noskov E. 92. Emeljanov R. 70. Gadzhimuradov R. 7. Simonyan A. 4. Martinez B. 20. Aliev K. 9. Gongadze G.
Substitutes
5. Bagaev A. 87. Bulatsev T. 73. Chirkov M. 65. Datiev Z. S. 28. Dudaev I. 37. Gagloev T. 95. Gogniev S. 12. Kazantsev D. 25. Kokoev D. 21. Kozyrev A. 24. Magomedov A. (G) 76. Nafikov V.	6. Bagiev S. 8. Gagloev A. 11. Gongapshev A. 84. Grebenkin Y. 78. Imamov I. (G) 28. Iosipoi M. 96. Maksimenko A.
Coaches
Gogniev S.	Poddubskiy A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Gongadze G. ⚽,
17', Toboev T. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Gongadze G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 3, Gongadze G. ⚽,
59', Butaev A. ↓, Nafikov V. ↑,
59', Chertkoev D. ↓, Bulatsev T. ↑,
59', Ogoev S. ↓, Kozyrev A. ↑,
64', Emeljanov R. ↓, Bagiev S. ↑,
71', Aliev K. ↓, Gongapshev A. ↑,
71', Gongadze G. ↓, Gagloev A. ↑,
71', Gogniev R. ↓, Gagloev T. ↑,
74', Khugaev A. ↓, Bagaev A. ↑,
77', Simonyan A. ↓, Maksimenko A. ↑,
78', Gadzhimuradov R. ↓, Iosipoi M. ↑,
78', 0 - 4, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
85', Yshyk M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alania won 3.

Alania has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SKA Khabarovsk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

SKA Khabarovsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, SKA Khabarovsk has had a series of home games.

SKA Khabarovsk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Alania won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Alania won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 2.6:1.6).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
03.05.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:3 ✺
27.04.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Torpedo Moscow	2:4 ✺
20.04.25	Sochi - Alania Vladikavkaz	4:0 ✺
12.04.25	Ufa - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Shinnik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLLL
- SKA Khabarovsk
Russian FNL
03.05.25	SKA Khabarovsk - KAMAZ	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - SKA Khabarovsk	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Arsenal Tula	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
03.08.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:3
20.05.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:1
Club Friendly
09.02.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:1
Russian FNL
23.09.23	Alania Vladikavkaz - SKA Khabarovsk	2:1
06.05.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0
16.10.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - SKA Khabarovsk	4:1
Club Friendly
08.07.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - SKA Khabarovsk	2:1

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