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Current Win Probability
Alania Vladikavkaz 27.8%
Draw 26.8%
SKA Khabarovsk 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
29.8%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
30.3%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
SKA Khabarovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SKA Khabarovsk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SKA Khabarovsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alania Vladikavkaz - SKA Khabarovsk Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - SKA Khabarovsk (1.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. SKA Khabarovsk (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Natabashvili G. (G) 19. Butaev A. 70. Daurov R. 71. Byazrov A. 58. Yshyk M. 75. Ogoev S. 18. Toboev T. 8. Khugaev A. (C) 9. Zakirov A. M. 79. Chertkoev D. 27. Gogniev R.
1. Kuznetsov A. (G) 21. Gurban G. 17. Pokidyshev N. 44. Zhuravlev Y. 91. Noskov E. 92. Emeljanov R. 70. Gadzhimuradov R. 7. Simonyan A. 4. Martinez B. 20. Aliev K. 9. Gongadze G.
Substitutes
5. Bagaev A. 87. Bulatsev T. 73. Chirkov M. 65. Datiev Z. S. 28. Dudaev I. 37. Gagloev T. 95. Gogniev S. 12. Kazantsev D. 25. Kokoev D. 21. Kozyrev A. 24. Magomedov A. (G) 76. Nafikov V.
6. Bagiev S. 8. Gagloev A. 11. Gongapshev A. 84. Grebenkin Y. 78. Imamov I. (G) 28. Iosipoi M. 96. Maksimenko A.
Coaches
Gogniev S.
Poddubskiy A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Gongadze G. ⚽,
17', Toboev T. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Gongadze G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 3, Gongadze G. ⚽,
59', Butaev A. ↓, Nafikov V. ↑,
59', Chertkoev D. ↓, Bulatsev T. ↑,
59', Ogoev S. ↓, Kozyrev A. ↑,
64', Emeljanov R. ↓, Bagiev S. ↑,
71', Aliev K. ↓, Gongapshev A. ↑,
71', Gongadze G. ↓, Gagloev A. ↑,
71', Gogniev R. ↓, Gagloev T. ↑,
74', Khugaev A. ↓, Bagaev A. ↑,
77', Simonyan A. ↓, Maksimenko A. ↑,
78', Gadzhimuradov R. ↓, Iosipoi M. ↑,
78', 0 - 4, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
85', Yshyk M. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alania won 3.
Alania has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
SKA Khabarovsk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
SKA Khabarovsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, SKA Khabarovsk has had a series of home games.
SKA Khabarovsk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Alania won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Alania won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 2.6:1.6).
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Natabashvili G. (G) 
Gurban G. 
Simonyan A. 
Martinez B. 
Iosipoi M. 
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