Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 10

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Kuban Stadium (Krasnodar)

Referee: Nizovtsev I. (Rus)


	Kuban Krasnodar		Akron Tolyatti

	1	X	2
	3.87	3.25	2.01
	3.78	3.2	2.01	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.1)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	2.02 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kuban Krasnodar
25.4%

Draw
28.7%

Akron Tolyatti
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kuban Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kuban Krasnodar's form might have worsened.

Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Akron Tolyatti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuban Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kuban Krasnodar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Akron Tolyatti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kuban Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nesterenko Y. (C) 10. Abdokov N. 22. Bakalyuk N. 92. Chuperka V. 20. Kenfack O. 55. Lauk M. 70. Levin G. 19. Osipov E. 96. Smirnov A. 77. Temnikov I. 37. Vedeneev M.	1. Volkov S. (G) 26. Andjelkovic N. 14. Bokoev M. 27. Chudin I. 15. Danilkin E. 22. Galkin V. 13. Khubaev D. 18. Kilin A. (C) 6. Makarov S. 11. Ponce A. 77. Savichev K.
Substitutes
28. Bairyev A. 87. Bezdenezhnykh I. 56. Fattakhov L. 36. Gruznov I. 21. Kertanov K. 9. Mamtov K. 17. Moseychuk I. 73. Sharipov A. 30. Takazov S. 24. Ternovskiy D. (G)	7. Apekov R. 9. Azarov V. 23. Danilin K. 20. Dimoski B. 70. Eldarushev A. 52. Konyukhov V. 50. Nagaev D. (G) 8. Pesegov E. 19. Sangare D. (G)
Coaches
Evseev V.	Kaleshin E.

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).

The competitors look crappy now.

Kuban could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Akron will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kuban won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Kuban won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kuban Krasnodar
Russian FNL
09.09.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Kuban Krasnodar	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Khimki - Kuban Krasnodar	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Shinnik - Kuban Krasnodar	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Sokol Saratov	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTLLT
- Akron Tolyatti
Russian FNL
11.09.23	Torpedo Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Akron Tolyatti - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	Akron Tolyatti - Tyumen	1:2 ✺
20.08.23	Leningradets - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
13.08.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
29.04.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti	1:1
09.10.22	Akron Tolyatti - Kuban Krasnodar	0:0
16.04.22	Kuban Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti	2:0
03.10.21	Akron Tolyatti - Kuban Krasnodar	1:0

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