Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina (Khabarovsk)

Referee: Kulikov S. (Rus)


	SKA Khabarovsk		Orenburg

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.25
	3.17	3.21	2.4
	3.02	3.2	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.57)	3.14 ↓ (3.16)	2.35 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA Khabarovsk
30.7%

Draw
29.7%

Orenburg
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

29.2%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

30.6%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA Khabarovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orenburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SKA Khabarovsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orenburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

SKA Khabarovsk - Orenburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. SKA Khabarovsk will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Orenburg will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for SKA Khabarovsk: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL (Promotion) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches SKA Khabarovsk won 2.

SKA Khabarovsk is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Orenburg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Orenburg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches SKA Khabarovsk won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams SKA Khabarovsk won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA Khabarovsk
Russian FNL
07.05.22	SKA Khabarovsk - Tom Tomsk	2:0 ✺
30.04.22	SKA Khabarovsk - Fakel	2:1 ✺
23.04.22	Baltika Kaliningrad - SKA Khabarovsk	2:0 ✺
16.04.22	SKA Khabarovsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Volgar Astrakhan - SKA Khabarovsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWT
- FC Orenburg
Russian FNL
07.05.22	Orenburg - Olimp Dolgoprudny	2:2 ✺
30.04.22	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Orenburg	2:5 ✺
24.04.22	Orenburg - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0 ✺
17.04.22	Spartak 2 Moscow - Orenburg	2:3 ✺
10.04.22	Orenburg - Kuban Krasnodar	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
23.10.21	Orenburg - SKA Khabarovsk	2:0
03.04.21	SKA Khabarovsk - Orenburg	1:0
09.10.20	Orenburg - SKA Khabarovsk	2:2
Russian Premier League
28.05.17	Orenburg - SKA Khabarovsk	0:1 penalties
25.05.17	SKA Khabarovsk - Orenburg	0:0
Russian FNL
25.04.16	Orenburg - SKA Khabarovsk	0:0
11.10.15	SKA Khabarovsk - Orenburg	1:1

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