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Current Win Probability
SKA Khabarovsk 27.7%
Draw 31.1%
Fakel 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.1%
32.4%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
32.8%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SKA Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
SKA Khabarovsk - Fakel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kuznetsov A. (G) 17. Anisimov A. 91. Noskov E. 3. Pliev K. 71. Masternoy V. 20. Tur J. A. 30. Shavlokhov D. 7. Aliev K. 6. Bagiev S. 33. Tsypchenko D. 14. Bragin V.
1. Frolkin D. (G) 44. Zhuravlev Y. 27. Magkeev S. 2. Cherov V. 10. Alshin I. 11. Motpan N. 77. Bagatelia L. 99. Giorgobiani N. 52. Netfullin R. (C) 19. Pusi B. 21. Gongadze G.
Substitutes
19. Alcalde J. 55. Aleynikov V. 18. Bolataev D. 8. Emeljanov R. 11. Gagloev A. 21. Gurban G. 77. Gurtsiev B. 82. Ilyev D. 78. Imamov I. (G) 9. Kutovoy M. 96. Maksimenko A. 13. Yanov D.
70. Abdokov N. 8. Bagamaev A. 5. Gabaraev A. 95. Gaponov I. 17. Kovalev A. 97. Magomedov B. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 18. Simonov K. 9. Turishchev M. 93. Uridia M. 23. Yakimov V. 20. Yurganov I.
Coaches
Poddubskiy A.
Vasilenko O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Bagiev S. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Bragin V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bagatelia L. ↓, Simonov K. ↑,
47', Magkeev S. 🟨,
70', Bragin V. 🟨,
75', Bragin V. ↓, Alcalde J. ↑,
76', Motpan N. ↓, Uridia M. ↑,
90+2', Pusi B. ↓, Gabaraev A. ↑,
90+2', Alshin I. ↓, Kovalev A. ↑,
90+3', Tur J. A. ↓, Emeljanov R. ↑,
90+4', Masternoy V. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 4.
SKA Khabarovsk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Fakel is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Fakel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Fakel has had a series of home games.
Fakel could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.2:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, SKA Khabarovsk won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).
Watch
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Kuznetsov A. (G) 
Tur J. A. 
Bagiev S. 
Motpan N. 
Pusi B. 
Gurban G. 
Uridia M. 
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