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Current Win Probability
SKA Khabarovsk 39%
Draw 31.1%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.9%
30.3%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
31%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SKA Khabarovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
SKA Khabarovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kuznetsov A. (G) 37. Chirkov M. 91. Noskov E. 30. Shavlokhov D. 21. Gurban G. 55. Aleynikov V. 6. Bagiev S. 33. Tsypchenko D. 11. Gagloev A. 7. Aliev K. 13. Yanov D.
32. Matyusha M. (G) 99. Morozov K. 3. Pliev Z. 81. Tonevitskiy E. 69. Rodionov I. 8. Tarba Z. 10. Zhigulev I. 13. Puzanov S. 18. Nikolaev O. 7. Antonov A. 9. Aliev S.
Substitutes
19. Alcalde J. 51. Botnar V. (G) 14. Bragin V. 77. Gurtsiev B. 78. Imamov I. (G) 9. Kutovoy M. 96. Maksimenko A. 29. Mukhin A. 79. Pershin D.
11. Gurchenko D. 4. Kirsch I. 25. Lozhkin V. 19. Pomeshkin K. 73. Shtepa M. (G) 59. Syshchenko M. 17. Zhilkin G.
Coaches
Poddubskiy A.
Evseev V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Gagloev A. ↓, Gurtsiev B. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Gurtsiev B. ⚽,
60', Rodionov I. ↓, Gurchenko D. ↑,
71', Tarba Z. ↓, Pomeshkin K. ↑,
71', Puzanov S. ↓, Zhilkin G. ↑,
80', Bagiev S. ↓, Maksimenko A. ↑,
83', Antonov A. ↓, Lozhkin V. ↑,
83', Tonevitskiy E. ↓, Kirsch I. ↑,
88', Tsypchenko D. ↓, Alcalde J. ↑,
90+3', Aliev K. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 2.
Recent form of SKA Khabarovsk has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Chernomorets's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 2.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, SKA Khabarovsk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
Watch
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Kuznetsov A. (G) 
Gurban G. 
Bagiev S. 
Alcalde J. 
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