Match Info

RUSSIA: RUSSIAN CUP - REGIONS PATH - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday


	Volgar Astrakhan		Yenisey Krasnoyarsk

	1	X	2
	2.03	3.25	3.19
	1.97	3.52	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.42)	3.39 ↑ (3.1)	3.34 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volgar Astrakhan
45.7%

Draw
27%

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30.2%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

30.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volgar Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volgar Astrakhan's performance.

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volgar Astrakhan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Volgar Astrakhan - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Smirnov O. (G) 44. Anisimov A. 15. Folmer K. 22. Khomukha I. (C) 19. Kosarev K. 14. Poluboyarinov D. 28. Proshkin E. 42. Shaikhtdinov D. 55. Shlyakov E. 23. Ushatov K. 9. Zhamaletdinov T.	42. Yarusov D. (G) 80. Bardybakhin V. 96. Ferreyra G. 22. Kanaplin A. 77. Kapustyanskiy D. 7. Logua I. 13. Markov N. (C) 27. Nemchenko A. 75. Okladnikov A. 12. Razdorskikh N. 23. Uzhgin M.
Substitutes
43. Gilyazetdinov A. 17. Lesnikov D. 70. Malyarov N. 77. Pushkarev D. 86. Rybikov N. (G) 90. Shakuro P. 20. Smirnov D. 58. Zuev I.	99. Akimov A. 65. Fedorenko D. 33. Maslovskiy A. 19. Oganichev D. 66. Polshikov D. 30. Rebrov D. (G) 9. Savelyev M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Volgar won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Volgar won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Volgar won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volgar Astrakhan
Russian FNL
14.10.23	Tyumen - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Volgar Astrakhan - KAMAZ	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
27.09.23	Znamya Truda - Volgar Astrakhan	1:3 ✺
Russian FNL
23.09.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWTWT
- FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
Russian FNL
14.10.23	Khimki - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Shinnik - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
27.09.23	Luki-Energiya - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL
23.09.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
19.08.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:2
05.03.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Volgar Astrakhan	2:1
14.08.22	Volgar Astrakhan - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:0
06.03.22	Volgar Astrakhan - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:3
29.08.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Volgar Astrakhan	2:2
27.02.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:4
05.09.20	Volgar Astrakhan - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:1

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