Match Info

FNL - Round 14

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Referee: Kashirin D. (Rus)


	Rodina Moscow		SKA Khabarovsk

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.51	5.13
	1.78	3.56	4.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.68)	3.54 ↓ (3.7)	5.02 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
54%

Draw
27%

SKA Khabarovsk
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.6%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

25%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

SKA Khabarovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Rodina Moscow - SKA Khabarovsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Volkov S. (G) 80. Bessmertniy S. 55. Krizan M. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 49. Dyatlov I. 20. Kontsevoy A. 77. Koryan A. 10. Reyna Y. 6. Fishchenko R. 99. Timoshenko I. 9. Maksimenko A.	1. Kuznetsov A. (G) 29. Mukhin A. 21. Gurban G. 30. Shavlokhov D. 91. Noskov E. 7. Aliev K. (C) 17. Anisimov A. 6. Bagiev S. 20. Tur J. A. 19. Alcalde J. 33. Tsypchenko D.
Substitutes
1. Aydarov S. (G) 91. Barinov D. (G) 5. Egorychev A. 72. Gordyushenko A. 7. Gueye P. 52. Kuzmichev I. 38. Musaev L. 78. Omarov M. 88. Sokol A. 23. Ushatov K.	18. Bolataev D. 14. Bragin V. 8. Emeljanov R. 11. Gagloev A. 78. Imamov I. (G) 96. Maksimenko A. 71. Masternoy V. 3. Pliev K. 13. Yanov D.
Coaches
Diaz J.	Poddubskiy A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Reyna Y. ⚽,
44', Maksimenko A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Aliev K. 🟨,
54', Meshchaninov A. 🟨,
54', Shavlokhov D. 🟨,
56', Meshchaninov A. ↓, Kuzmichev I. ↑,
60', Koryan A. 🟨,
63', Koryan A. ↓, Musaev L. ↑,
64', Maksimenko A. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
70', Noskov E. ↓, Masternoy V. ↑,
70', Tur J. A. ↓, Bragin V. ↑,
71', Tsypchenko D. ↓, Yanov D. ↑,
78', Alcalde J. 🟨,
79', Aliev K. ↓, Gagloev A. ↑,
88', Kontsevoy A. ↓, Sokol A. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Dyatlov I. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, SKA Khabarovsk has had a series of home games.

In this match, Rodina is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Rodina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
04.10.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Rodina Moscow	0:0 ✺
29.09.25	Rodina Moscow - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
24.09.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Rodina Moscow	0:3 ✺
Russian FNL
20.09.25	Chelyabinsk - Rodina Moscow	4:0 ✺
15.09.25	Rodina Moscow - Fakel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWLW
- SKA Khabarovsk
Russian FNL
05.10.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Shinnik	3:1 ✺
29.09.25	Ural - SKA Khabarovsk	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
24.09.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Rodina Moscow	0:3 ✺
Russian FNL
21.09.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Chelyabinsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
24.09.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Rodina Moscow	0:3
Russian FNL
17.05.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Rodina Moscow	1:0
20.07.24	Rodina Moscow - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0
24.04.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Rodina Moscow	2:1
06.08.23	Rodina Moscow - SKA Khabarovsk	1:1
18.03.23	Rodina Moscow - SKA Khabarovsk	2:0
27.08.22	SKA Khabarovsk - Rodina Moscow	2:1

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