Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 17

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Piancastagnaio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Pianese		Gubbio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	2.98	2.32
	3.26	3	2.42
	3.22	2.78	2.4	Watch
	3	2.75	2.3
	3.18	2.84	2.3	Watch
	3.25	2.85	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.82)	2.87 ↓ (3.03)	2.35 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pianese
29%

Draw
32%

Gubbio
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

30.4%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

30.5%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Pianese - Gubbio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pianese will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Filippis E. (G) 56. Masetti L. 13. Ercolani L. 16. Chesti F. 33. Coccia L. 21. Tirelli M. 27. Bertini M. 19. Sussi C. 8. Simeoni L. (C) 30. Proietto F. 11. Bellini L.	1. Bagnolini N. (G) 15. Signorini A. (C) 5. Di Bitonto A. 4. Baroncelli L. 77. Minta A. 27. Podda L. 21. Carraro F. 8. Rosaia G. 34. Zallu F. 19. La Mantia A. 10. Di Massimo A.
Substitutes
6. Amey W. 5. Balde M. 12. Bertini T. (G) 29. Fabrizi L. 15. Gorelli M. 77. Martey C. 57. Porciatti F. (G) 10. Puletto F. 14. Sodero A. 25. Spinosa L. 71. Xhani K.	78. Conti V. 40. Costa G. 82. Djankpata H. 17. Fazzi N. 73. Ghirardello T. 12. Krapikas T. (G) 80. Niang O. 30. Sportolaro C. 56. Tomasella M. (G) 9. Tommasini C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Signorini A. 🟨,
19', Proietto F. 🟨,
23', Podda L. 🟨,
39', Minta A. 🟨,
42', Signorini A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Di Massimo A. ↓, Niang O. ↑,
52', Podda L. ↓, Fazzi N. ↑,
58', Carraro F. 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Tirelli M. ⚽,
66', Proietto F. ↓, Sodero A. ↑,
66', Ercolani L. ↓, Gorelli M. ↑,
66', La Mantia A. ↓, Tommasini C. ↑,
78', Simeoni L. ↓, Fabrizi L. ↑,
80', Di Bitonto A. 🟨,
86', Carraro F. ↓, Ghirardello T. ↑,
86', Zallu F. ↓, Djankpata H. ↑,
90+3', Tirelli M. ↓, Puletto F. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Gubbio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gubbio could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pianese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pianese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Gubbio - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.97%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
30.11.25	Campobasso - Pianese	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Pianese - Forlì	3:2 ✺
16.11.25	Pontedera - Pianese	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Pianese - Rimini	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Pineto - Pianese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWLWT
- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
29.11.25	Gubbio - Livorno	0:0 ✺
26.11.25	Gubbio - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Ravenna - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Ascoli - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gubbio - Ternana	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
07.03.25	Gubbio - Pianese	1:0
25.10.24	Pianese - Gubbio	3:1
Italian Serie D - Group E
31.01.16	Pianese - Gubbio	0:1

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