Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

Referee: Camplone G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Frosinone		SPAL

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.63	3.9	5
	1.65	3.55	5.4
	1.67	3.6	4.9
	1.69	3.79	5.73
	1.73	3.6	4.75
	1.66	3.88	5	Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.82)	3.7 ↑ (3.5)	5.09 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
56.2%

Draw
25.4%

SPAL
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

26.8%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

26.3%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	26.3%	15.8%

Frosinone - SPAL Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). SPAL will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frosinone: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Frosinone has the most likely position - 3 (8.46%), has project points - 58, has currently - 12, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (46%), has a chance of promoted (24%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

SPAL has the most likely position - 14 (6.83%), has project points - 49, has currently - 9, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 34, importance 31, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Frosinone is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Frosinone won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
01.10.22	Parma - Frosinone	2:1 ✺
17.09.22	Frosinone - Palermo	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Cittadella - Frosinone	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Frosinone - Como	2:0 ✺
28.08.22	Benevento - Frosinone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL
- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie B
01.10.22	SPAL - Genoa	0:2 ✺
17.09.22	Como - SPAL	3:3 ✺
11.09.22	SPAL - Venezia	2:0 ✺
03.09.22	Bari - SPAL	2:2 ✺
27.08.22	SPAL - Cagliari	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
30.04.22	SPAL - Frosinone	3:0
18.12.21	Frosinone - SPAL	4:0
04.05.21	SPAL - Frosinone	0:1
04.01.21	Frosinone - SPAL	1:2
Italian Serie A
31.03.19	Frosinone - SPAL	0:1
28.10.18	SPAL - Frosinone	0:3
Italian Serie B
26.03.17	SPAL - Frosinone	0:2

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