Match Info

Date: 30 December 2020, Wednesday


	Pordenone		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.85	3.5	4.25
	1.82	3.45	4.5	Watch
	1.84	3.25	4.2
	1.88	3.55	4.64
	1.85	3.3	4.6
	1.85	3.4	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.92)	3.42 ↑ (3.35)	4.51 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pordenone
51.4%

Draw
27.7%

Reggiana
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

28.1%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

18%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pordenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pordenone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reggiana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.6%	28.1%	6.2%

Pordenone - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Pordenone will win (votes: 21 - 65.6%). Reggiana will win (votes: 2 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 28.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pordenone: 49.1% – 82.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 15).

Pordenone has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Reggiana has a chance of relegated (40%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Pordenone is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Reggiana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Pordenone is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Pordenone won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie B
27.12.20	Frosinone - Pordenone	1:1 ✺
22.12.20	Pordenone - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
18.12.20	Virtus Entella - Pordenone	0:1 ✺
15.12.20	Pordenone - Brescia	1:1 ✺
12.12.20	Pisa - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWTL
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
27.12.20	Reggiana - Reggina	0:1 ✺
22.12.20	Empoli - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
19.12.20	Brescia - Reggiana	3:1 ✺
15.12.20	Reggiana - Frosinone	1:2 ✺
12.12.20	Nuova Cosenza - Reggiana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
25.03.18	Pordenone - Reggiana	4:3
08.11.17	Reggiana - Pordenone	1:0
30.03.17	Reggiana - Pordenone	0:0
12.11.16	Pordenone - Reggiana	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
02.04.16	Pordenone - Reggiana	1:0
22.11.15	Reggiana - Pordenone	1:4

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