Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 33

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)

Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	SPAL		Brescia

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.95
	2.4	3	3.1
	2.49	3.12	3.27
	2.44	3.04	3.14	Watch
	2.4	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.39)	3.08 ↑ (3.05)	3.09 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

SPAL
38.8%

Draw
30.7%

Brescia
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

30.4%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

30%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for SPAL have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	77.8%	0%

SPAL - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

SPAL has the most likely position - 18 (22.94%), project points - 39, currently - 32, a good chance of relegated (70%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Brescia has the most likely position - 20 (33.33%), project points - 37, currently - 31, a good chance of relegated (89%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 25, importance 64, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-17.

Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie B
10.04.23	Benevento - SPAL	1:3 ✺
01.04.23	SPAL - Ternana	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - SPAL	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Nuova Cosenza - SPAL	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	SPAL - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTLLW
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
10.04.23	Brescia - Ternana	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Ascoli - Brescia	4:3 ✺
18.03.23	Brescia - Genoa	0:3 ✺
11.03.23	Venezia - Brescia	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Brescia - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.11.22	Brescia - SPAL	2:0
25.04.22	Brescia - SPAL	1:1
11.12.21	SPAL - Brescia	0:2
01.05.21	Brescia - SPAL	3:1
30.12.20	SPAL - Brescia	2:3
Italian Serie A
19.07.20	Brescia - SPAL	2:1
08.12.19	SPAL - Brescia	0:1

SPAL - Brescia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide