Match Info

Date: 30 November 2021, Tuesday


	SPAL		Lecce

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.15
	3.4	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3.25	3.15	2.16
	3.56	3.46	2.18
	3.2	3.1	2.3
	3.46	3.36	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.87)	3.25 ↑ (3.2)	2.17 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie B with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

SPAL
27.9%

Draw
28.9%

Lecce
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

29.1%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

20.1%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SPAL, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lecce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SPAL - Lecce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

SPAL has the most likely position - 14 (9.38%), has project points - 50, has currently - 17, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (22%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lecce has the most likely position - 1 (26.83%), has project points - 66, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (44%), has a good chance of promoted (54%), has a chance of win league (27%).

Recent matches SPAL is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lecce is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SPAL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lecce will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie B
27.11.21	Nuova Cosenza - SPAL	0:1 ✺
20.11.21	SPAL - Alessandria	2:3 ✺
06.11.21	Cremonese - SPAL	1:1 ✺
01.11.21	SPAL - Perugia	1:2 ✺
28.10.21	Ascoli - SPAL	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLTLW
- US Lecce
Italian Serie B
26.11.21	Lecce - Ternana	3:3 ✺
20.11.21	Frosinone - Lecce	0:0 ✺
07.11.21	Lecce - Parma	4:0 ✺
01.11.21	Lecce - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
28.10.21	Brescia - Lecce	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.04.21	Lecce - SPAL	1:2
22.12.20	SPAL - Lecce	1:0
Italian Serie A
15.02.20	Lecce - SPAL	2:1
Coppa Italia
04.12.19	SPAL - Lecce	5:1
Italian Serie A
25.09.19	SPAL - Lecce	1:3

Upcoming Matches