Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 25

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Romeo Neri (Rimini)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 251


	Rimini		Perugia

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.9
	2.33	2.9	2.95
	2.4	2.92	3.29
	2.39	2.96	3.24	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.36	3.15	3.05	Watch
	2.33	2.9	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.99)	2.96 ↓ (3.12)	3.05 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rimini
39.1%

Draw
30.9%

Perugia
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28.7%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

29.3%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rimini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rimini's form might have worsened.

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rimini than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rimini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Rimini - Perugia Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Colombi S. (G) 4. Bellodi G. 46. Cinquegrano S. 5. Fiorini M. 33. Langella C. 98. Lepri T. 28. Longobardi G. 10. Malagrida L. 23. Megelaitis L. 97. Parigi G. 34. Ubaldi L.	1. Gemello L. (G) 13. Amoran P. 16. Bartolomei P. 17. Cisco A. 15. Dell'Orco C. 98. Giraudo F. 6. Giunti G. 4. Leo D. 10. Matos 9. Montevago D. 24. Torrasi E.
Substitutes
77. Cioffi A. 18. Conti F. 30. De Vitis A. 3. Falbo L. 32. Ferretti L. (G) 11. Gagliano L. 80. Garetto M. 6. Gorelli M. 14. Jallow S. 25. Lombardi A. 21. Piccoli M. 1. Vitali L. (G)	33. Agosti L. 22. Albertoni M. (G) 14. Barberini R. . Giorgetti M. . Joselito 23. Lisi F. 30. Marconi G. 67. Plaia M. 12. Yimga F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Fiorini M. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Cisco A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Malagrida L. ↓, Conti F. ↑,
59', Ubaldi L. ↓, Cioffi A. ↑,
65', Matos 🟨,
72', Montevago D. ↓, Marconi G. ↑,
79', Bartolomei P. ↓, Lisi F. ↑,
84', Cinquegrano S. ↓, Piccoli M. ↑,
90+4', Lisi F. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 13).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Rimini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Rimini have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rimini won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Rimini won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rimini FC
Italian Serie C Group B
26.01.25	Milan Futuro - Rimini	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
22.01.25	Trapani - Rimini	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
18.01.25	Rimini - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
11.01.25	Pescara - Rimini	0:0 ✺
06.01.25	Virtus Entella - Rimini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTTTL
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
26.01.25	Perugia - Pescara	0:0 ✺
20.01.25	Gubbio - Perugia	1:0 ✺
10.01.25	Perugia - Carpi	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	SPAL - Perugia	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Perugia - Pianese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
26.09.24	Perugia - Rimini	1:4
Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.24	Perugia - Rimini	0:0
Italian Serie C Group B
03.02.24	Perugia - Rimini	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
09.11.23	Rimini - Perugia	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
23.09.23	Rimini - Perugia	2:2

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