Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 22

Date: 10 January 2025, Friday

Location: Porta Elisa (Lucca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252


	Lucchese		SPAL

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	2.65	2.6	2.55
	2.67	2.78	2.91	Watch
	2.75	2.88	2.6
	2.75	2.82	2.55	Watch
	2.65	2.6	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.4)	2.77 ↓ (3.1)	2.6 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
33.3%

Draw
32.3%

SPAL
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

28.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

26.8%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucchese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Lucchese - SPAL Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Coletta J. (G) 30. Gemignani A. 6. Gasbarro A. 13. Fazzi N. 21. Visconti E. 14. Quirini E. 8. Tumbarello G. 27. Gucher R. 29. Antoni E. 70. Saporiti E. 9. Magnaghi S.	12. Galeotti C. (G) 28. Calapai L. 23. Arena M. 95. Nador S. 19. Mignanelli D. 20. Zammarini R. 5. Awua T. 33. D'Orazio L. 77. Bidaoui S. 7. Antenucci M. 11. Rao E.
Substitutes
12. Allegrucci L. (G) 26. Cartano R. 31. Catanese G. 19. Fedato F. 77. Giacchino G. 38. Leone M. 71. Moschella M. 17. Mozzillo M. 33. Sabbione A. 18. Sasanelli L. 10. Selvini A.	26. Bassoli A. 97. Baud Banaga M. 3. Bruscagin M. 92. Cecchinato L. 91. Conte O. 15. Haoudi H. 90. Kane L. 1. Melgrati R. (G) 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 18. Ntenda J. 10. Radrezza I. . Tarolli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Antenucci M. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Antenucci M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, Quirini E. ⚽,
58', Zammarini R. ↓, Haoudi H. ↑,
68', Haoudi H. 🟨,
69', 2 - 2, Magnaghi S. ⚽,
71', 2 - 3, D'Orazio L. ⚽,
75', Gucher R. ↓, Catanese G. ↑,
75', Antoni E. ↓, Selvini A. ↑,
84', Nador S. ↓, Radrezza I. ↑,
84', Awua T. ↓, Kane L. ↑,
84', Rao E. ↓, Cecchinato L. ↑,
85', Quirini E. ↓, Fedato F. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.5:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
04.01.25	Gubbio - Lucchese	3:1 ✺
20.12.24	Lucchese - Pineto	3:3 ✺
15.12.24	Sassari Torres - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
09.12.24	Lucchese - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Vis Pesaro - Lucchese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTTLL
- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
05.01.25	SPAL - Perugia	1:1 ✺
20.12.24	Ascoli - SPAL	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Gubbio - SPAL	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	SPAL - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
02.12.24	Pontedera - SPAL	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
08.09.24	SPAL - Lucchese	2:3
04.02.24	Lucchese - SPAL	2:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
09.11.23	SPAL - Lucchese	0:2 ET
Italian Serie C Group B
11.10.23	SPAL - Lucchese	2:2
16.01.16	Lucchese - SPAL	1:1
06.09.15	SPAL - Lucchese	3:0
14.02.15	Lucchese - SPAL	2:0

Lucchese - SPAL: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide