Match Info

OFB Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: NV Arena (Sankt Pölten)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	ORF 1, ORF On
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	St. Pölten		Rapid Wien

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.8	1.83	Watch
	3.65	3.7	1.85
	25.00	7.74	1.07	Watch
	3.84	3.76	1.83	Watch
	4	3.65	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.06 ↑ (4.14)	4.53 ↑ (3.43)	1.66 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pölten
13.1%

Draw
23.3%

Rapid Wien
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

27%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

22.7%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pölten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Pölten's form might have worsened.

Rapid Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rapid Wien's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Pölten, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-20.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rapid Wien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

St. Pölten - Rapid Wien Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rapid (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Rapid Wien will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Knett C. (G) 23. Carlson D. (C) 5. Buchegger L. 10. Stendera M. 15. Skogen S. 19. Riegler D. 34. Krasniqi L. 7. Amoah W. 11. Hausjell M. 30. Young R. 90. Dursun F.	25. Gartler P. (G) 55. Cvetkovic N. 20. Ahoussou A. 6. Raux Yao S. 23. Auer J. 17. Gulliksen T. 29. Amane R. 18. Seidl M. (C) 61. Demir F. 9. Kara E. 15. Wurmbrand N.
Substitutes
18. Altersberger T. 24. Baranyai-Ulvestad E. (G) 77. Barlov D. 33. Ferstl V. 14. Kasparek D. 21. Kleinbruckner M. 32. Kurz M. (G) 22. Mane E. H. 8. Messerer C.	90. Antiste J. 77. Bolla B. 8. Grgic L. 1. Hedl N. (G) 14. Ndzie M. 49. Radulovic A. 21. Schaub L. 7. Tilio M. 41. Weixelbraun D.
Coaches
Sekerlioglu C.	Stoger P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Kara E. ⚽, Wurmbrand N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Auer J. 🟨,
57', Young R. 🟨,
67', Sekerlioglu C. 🟨,
68', Gulliksen T. ↓, Antiste J. ↑,
76', Hausjell M. ↓, Mane E. H. ↑,
79', Auer J. ↓, Bolla B. ↑,
81', Amoah W. ↓, Ferstl V. ↑,
89', Amane R. 🟨,
89', Krasniqi L. ↓, Barlov D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pölten won 0.

St. Pölten is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rapid is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rapid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rapid is seen as the favorite.

We predict that St. Pölten will win today's game, with odds of 4.17.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, St. Pölten won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:40. (average 0.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Pölten won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:26. (average 0.9:2.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKN St. Pölten
Austrian 2 Liga
24.10.25	Liefering - St. Pölten	3:1 ✺
17.10.25	St. Pölten - Austria Lustenau	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Austria Klagenfurt - St. Pölten	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	St. Pölten - Sturm Graz B	4:0 ✺
20.09.25	Austria Salzburg - St. Pölten	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWW
- Rapid Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
26.10.25	Ried - Rapid Wien	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Rapid Wien - Fiorentina	0:3 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
19.10.25	Rapid Wien - LASK Linz	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Lech Poznań - Rapid Wien	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.01.25	Rapid Wien - St. Pölten	1:0
Austrian OFB Cup
04.02.24	Rapid Wien - St. Pölten	3:1
Club Friendly
07.07.21	Rapid Wien - St. Pölten	2:2
Austrian Bundesliga
27.01.21	Rapid Wien - St. Pölten	2:1
26.09.20	St. Pölten - Rapid Wien	1:2
02.11.19	Rapid Wien - St. Pölten	0:1
04.08.19	St. Pölten - Rapid Wien	2:2

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