Match Info

2. Liga - Round 14

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Solarstadion Gleisdorf (Gleisdorf)

Referee: Gadler P. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Sturm Graz B		SPG Wels

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	3.3	2.42
	2.38	3.59	2.73
	2.35	3.65	2.69	Watch
	2.82	3.23	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.42)	3.44 ↓ (3.5)	2.58 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz B
36.5%

Draw
27.2%

SPG Wels
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.4%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

26.2%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Sturm Graz B - SPG Wels Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sturm B will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). SPG Wels will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SPG Wels (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Khudyakov D. (G) 13. Wolf J. 11. Gurmann T. 6. Haider G. (C) 2. Bakhty S. 29. Koita Y. 22. Beck J. 14. Beganovic B. 33. Lazarre W. 31. Pernot B. 30. Mustafic S.	44. Schrocker K. (G) 4. Feyrer S. (C) 14. Tischler L. 28. Gobara P. 42. Lechner F. 22. Conte K. 45. Sylla S. 77. Thurnwald M. 9. Gashi A. 20. Malinowski S. 33. Bosnjak A.
Substitutes
4. Jabateh I. 9. Jastrzembski D. 44. Kante A. 17. Locker J. 41. Lorenz E. (G) 47. Osayantin R. 27. Pirker S.	12. Brugger M. 1. Cechal M. (G) 3. Luan 6. Muller P. 8. Radics A. 5. Sammer B. 7. Schwaighofer J.
Coaches
Wurm C.	Heinle C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', Gurmann T. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Gashi A. ⚽, Lechner F. (A),
29', Gashi A. 🟨,
33', 0 - 2, Bosnjak A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gurmann T. ↓, Jastrzembski D. ↑,
48', Tischler L. 🟨,
61', Beganovic B. ↓, Osayantin R. ↑,
63', Koita Y. 🟨,
64', 0 - 3, Gashi A. (Pen),
78', Lechner F. ↓, Brugger M. ↑,
78', Sylla S. ↓, Muller P. ↑,
82', Koita Y. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
86', Gashi A. ↓, Radics A. ↑,
89', Malinowski S. ↓, Schwaighofer J. ↑,
90', Thurnwald M. ↓, Sammer B. ↑,
90+4', Pernot B. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sturm B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sturm B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz B
Austrian 2 Liga
08.11.25	Austria Salzburg - Sturm Graz B	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Sturm Graz B - Admira	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Austria Klagenfurt - Sturm Graz B	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Sturm Graz B - First Vienna	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Sturm Graz B - Bregenz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTTLW
- SPG Wels
Austrian 2 Liga
07.11.25	SPG Wels - First Vienna	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	SPG Wels - Bregenz	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Stripfing - SPG Wels	4:3 ✺
19.10.25	SPG Wels - Rapid Wien II	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	Austria Salzburg - SPG Wels	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
03.06.22	Sturm Graz B - SPG Wels	3:0
26.10.20	Sturm Graz B - SPG Wels	0:1
22.10.19	SPG Wels - Sturm Graz B	5:2
07.06.19	Sturm Graz B - SPG Wels	4:1
03.11.18	SPG Wels - Sturm Graz B	3:0

Upcoming Matches