Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Osnabrück		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	3.76	2.13	Watch
	3	3.25	2.1
	3.03	3.56	2.19	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.85)	3.52 ↓ (4.1)	2.15 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osnabrück
30.5%

Draw
26.3%

Schalke 04
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

22.5%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

22%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osnabrück's performance.

Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Schalke 04 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osnabrück that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Schalke 04 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Osnabrück - Schalke 04 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Karius L. (G)
	5. Becker T.
	33. Becker V.
	23. El-Faouzi S.
	17. Gantenbein A.
	7. Gomis C.
	19. Karaman K.
	25. Katic N.
	4. Kurucay H.
	6. Schallenberg R.
	35. Wallentowitz M.
Substitutes
	47. Amoussou-Tchibara Z.
	43. Ayhan M.
	31. Dietrich T.
	45. Khadr M.
	30. Leonard D.
	41. Matriciani H.
	32. Podlech L. (G)
	46. Popperl P.
	27. Porath F.
	2. Sanchez F.
	36. Siebeking J. (G)
	9. Sylla M.
	8. Younes A.
	16. Zalazar M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 0 - 1, Sylla M. ⚽,
68', 0 - 2, Younes A. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Osnabrück have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Schalke is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Schalke is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Osnabrück won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 1:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Osnabrück won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Osnabrück
German 3 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Osnabrück - VfB Stuttgart II	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	Ulm 1846 - Osnabrück	3:5 ✺
06.12.25	Osnabrück - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Verl - Osnabrück	4:1 ✺
22.11.25	Osnabrück - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLW
- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
21.12.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Schalke 04	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Schalke 04 - Nürnberg	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
28.11.25	Schalke 04 - Paderborn	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Preußen Münster - Schalke 04	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
07.05.24	Osnabrück - Schalke 04	0:4
01.12.23	Schalke 04 - Osnabrück	4:0
Club Friendly
22.12.22	Osnabrück - Schalke 04	2:2
19.07.15	Osnabrück - Schalke 04	2:3

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