Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Ludwigspark Stadion (Saarbrücken)

Referee: Weisbach E. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Saarbrücken		Zwickau

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	4.5
	1.72	3.6	4.75
	1.68	3.8	4.35
	1.72	3.6	4.5
	1.76	3.93	4.67
	1.7	3.3	4.6
	1.72	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 (1.72)	3.65 ↓ (3.69)	4.55 ↑ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saarbrücken
54.1%

Draw
25.5%

Zwickau
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

25.1%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

25.1%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Zwickau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Saarbrücken - Zwickau Predictions

Users Predictions: Saarbrücken will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Saarbrücken is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Saarbrücken won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Saarbrücken won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
08.10.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Saarbrücken	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Saarbrücken - Freiburg II	2:2 ✺
19.09.22	Rot-Weiß Essen - Saarbrücken	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Bayreuth - Saarbrücken	0:6 ✺
05.09.22	Saarbrücken - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLWT
- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
08.10.22	Zwickau - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
03.10.22	Ingolstadt - Zwickau	0:0 ✺
17.09.22	Zwickau - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2 ✺
11.09.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Zwickau	0:1 ✺
04.09.22	Zwickau - Viktoria Köln	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
07.05.22	Saarbrücken - Zwickau	1:1
03.12.21	Zwickau - Saarbrücken	1:2
22.05.21	Zwickau - Saarbrücken	2:0
10.03.21	Saarbrücken - Zwickau	1:2

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