Match Info

Date: 3 October 2022, Monday

Location: Audi Sportpark (Ingolstadt)

Referee: Fuchs N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Ingolstadt		Zwickau

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.75
	1.77	3.7	4.33
	1.75	3.5	4.3
	1.75	3.65	4.3
	1.79	3.94	4.62
	1.7	3.5	4.2
	1.77	3.74	4.2	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.79)	3.65 ↑ (3.55)	4.38 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
53.2%

Draw
25.5%

Zwickau
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

26%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.6%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Zwickau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	13.8%	6.9%

Ingolstadt - Zwickau Predictions

Users Predictions: Ingolstadt will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 15).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Ingolstadt is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
17.09.22	Dynamo Dresden - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Ingolstadt - Waldhof Mannheim	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Freiburg II - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Ingolstadt - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:3 ✺
20.08.22	Rot-Weiß Essen - Ingolstadt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLLT
- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
17.09.22	Zwickau - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2 ✺
11.09.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Zwickau	0:1 ✺
04.09.22	Zwickau - Viktoria Köln	0:0 ✺
27.08.22	Verl - Zwickau	3:0 ✺
22.08.22	Zwickau - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
24.04.21	Ingolstadt - Zwickau	3:2
13.01.21	Zwickau - Ingolstadt	0:2
21.06.20	Zwickau - Ingolstadt	0:3
09.11.19	Ingolstadt - Zwickau	4:2

Upcoming Matches