Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta (Sabadell)


	Sabadell		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.05	3	3.4
	1.97	2.9	3.9
	2.08	3	3.35
	2.19	3.08	3.63
	2.13	3.1	3.54
	2.1	3.05	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.27)	3.02 ↑ (2.7)	3.52 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
43.7%

Draw
30.3%

Alcoyano
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

33.9%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

30.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sabadell that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Sabadell - Alcoyano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 1.

Recent matches Sabadell is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcoyano is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alcoyano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sabadell will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Sabadell won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.01.23	Atlético Baleares - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Sabadell - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
18.12.22	Osasuna B - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
11.12.22	Real Murcia - Sabadell	3:1 ✺
08.12.22	Sabadell - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLLL
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.01.23	Alcoyano - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	La Nucía - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
18.12.22	Alcoyano - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Intercity - Alcoyano	4:1 ✺
08.12.22	Alcoyano - Athletic Bilbao B	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.09.22	Alcoyano - Sabadell	2:1
26.01.22	Sabadell - Alcoyano	3:0
11.09.21	Alcoyano - Sabadell	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.05.19	Alcoyano - Sabadell	2:1
16.12.18	Sabadell - Alcoyano	0:1
25.03.18	Alcoyano - Sabadell	0:0
01.11.17	Sabadell - Alcoyano	2:0

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