Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 15

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Arenteiro		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.25
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.1	3.2	3.4
	2.22	3.16	3.44
	2.18	3.16	3.44
	2.13	3.13	3.42
	2.12	3.05	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.82)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	3.35 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenteiro
43.1%

Draw
29.5%

Sabadell
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

28.6%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

26.8%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arenteiro's form might have worsened.

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arenteiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sabadell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arenteiro - Sabadell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia D. (C) 22. Sanchez J. 15. Moreno J. 3. Novoa G. 18. Ramon A. 11. Pibe 4. Garcia Vitra D. R. 23. Chacon L. 16. Esquerdo V. 19. Ramos I. 7. Fedor M.	13. Ortola A. (C) 15. Amelibia J. 5. Resta P. 16. Herrero T. 19. Garcia N. 11. Astals D. 7. Moyano A. 21. Callejon F. 3. Carrion J. 9. Martinez M. 10. Herrera C.
Substitutes
20. Berardozzi T. 1. Brea Pablo (G) 5. Bueso P. 17. Delgado J. 8. Fernandez A. 24. Figueroa M. (G) 9. Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. 12. Gonzalez C. 2. Lucas Sena 6. Rodriguez T. 21. Romay M.	6. Beitia C. 12. Domenech M. 8. Gualda A. 17. Kopotun V. 22. Naranjo G. 27. Saez M. 2. Sanchez A. 24. Tou S. (G)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Arenteiro is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sabadell has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arenteiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arenteiro will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Arenteiro to win the game is with odds 2.06.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.11.23	Lugo - Arenteiro	0:1 ✺
18.11.23	Arenteiro - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Real Sociedad B - Arenteiro	2:2 ✺
04.11.23	Arenteiro - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Real Avilés - Arenteiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWTTW
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.11.23	Teruel - Sabadell	2:2 ✺
19.11.23	Sabadell - Lugo	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Barcelona B - Sabadell	4:1 ✺
05.11.23	Sabadell - Real Sociedad B	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Celta de Vigo B - Sabadell	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL

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