Match Info

Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 19 June 2026, Friday

Location: Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta (Sabadell)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sabadell		Zamora

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.20	3.10
	2.17	3.20	3.25
	2.11	3.27	3.44
	1.73	3.48	4.89	Watch
	2.05	3.00	3.20
	2.12	3.32	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.27)	3.25 ↑ (3.18)	3.55 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
45.4%

Draw
28.5%

Zamora
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29.1%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Sabadell - Zamora Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sabadell will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Zamora will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zamora (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 14. Astals D. 5. Bonaldo 15. Lazaro Cervera J. C. (C) 3. Fornes G. 19. Lopez J. 22. Liameed Q. 10. Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 20. Orriols Cerarols A. 23. Priego J. 17. Coscia A.	1. Sobron F. (G) 14. Moreno D. 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 5. Ruiz E. 20. Codina M. 6. Garcia M. 10. Ramos C. (C) 16. Lozano M. 7. Kike 19. Abde 9. Losada M.
Substitutes
24. Aguilar Elizalde E. 2. Aleman C. 4. Garcia C. 16. Godoy A. 11. Martinez R. 8. Moreno X. 13. Ortega J. (G) 7. Ripoll T. 9. Rodri 25. Ruiz N. (G) 21. Sergi 26. Tolosa A.	26. Alvaro (G) 4. Athuman I. 17. Carbonell J. 21. Lopez M. 24. Lopez S. 8. Marcelo A. 3. Merchan D. 13. Pereda A. (G) 11. Romero Morillo A. 22. Sancho J. 27. Sy M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Lazaro Cervera J. C. ↓, Aguilar Elizalde E. ↑,
46', Fornes G. 🟨,
63', Ramirez Carrasco M. A. ↓, Sergi ↑,
70', Abde ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
72', Lopez J. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
72', Astals D. ↓, Ripoll T. ↑,
76', Losada M. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
80', Coscia A. ↓, Rodri ↑,
82', Orriols Cerarols A. 🟨,
84', Moreno D. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Aguilar Elizalde E. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 0, Liameed Q. ⚽,
90+6', Liameed Q. 🟨,
90+19', 4 - 0, Moreno X. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Sabadell is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sabadell won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Sabadell - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.76%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Zamora - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.17%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.06.26	Zamora - Sabadell	1:0 ✺
05.06.26	Sabadell - Real Madrid Castilla	3:0 ✺
29.05.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.05.26	Tarazona - Sabadell	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Sabadell - Antequera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWL
- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.06.26	Zamora - Sabadell	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	Zamora - Villarreal B	2:0 ET ✺
31.05.26	Villarreal B - Zamora	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Zamora	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Zamora - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.06.26	Zamora - Sabadell	1:0

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