The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Madrid Castilla 41.8%
Draw 28.9%
Sabadell 29.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.2%
28.1%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
28.1%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid Castilla's performance.
Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sabadell might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Madrid Castilla that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sabadell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Real Madrid Castilla - Sabadell Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sabadell will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fran (G) 2. Jimenez D. 15. Martinez J. 23. Fati L. 21. Aguado D. 10. Palacios C. (C) 19. Fortuny P. 14. Cestero Sancho J. 16. Pitarch T. 47. Ciria A. 29. Ortega J.
1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Aleman C. 15. Lazaro Cervera J. C. (C) 5. Bonaldo 3. Fornes G. 14. Astals D. 20. Orriols Cerarols A. 19. Lopez J. 22. Liameed Q. 7. Ripoll T. 17. Coscia A.
Substitutes
18. Fettal R. 11. Iglesias Lois B. 39. Leiva A. 30. Mesonero D. 25. Mestre S. (G) 6. Perea C. 46. Rezola M. 4. Rivas M. 5. Serrano M. 7. Yanez D.
24. Aguilar Elizalde E. 4. Garcia C. 16. Godoy A. 11. Martinez R. 8. Moreno X. 13. Ortega J. (G) 23. Priego J. 10. Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 9. Rodri 25. Ruiz N. (G) 21. Sergi 26. Tolosa A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Astals D. 🟨,
45+2', Ciria A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Coscia A. ↓, Priego J. ↑,
60', Lopez J. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
64', Ciria A. ↓, Leiva A. ↑,
64', Ortega J. ↓, Fettal R. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Fortuny P. ⚽,
77', Ripoll T. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
77', Astals D. ↓, Aguilar Elizalde E. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Palacios C. ⚽, Aguado D. (A),
83', Palacios C. ↓, Yanez D. ↑,
83', Fornes G. ↓, Rodri ↑,
84', Orriols Cerarols A. 🟨,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Real Madrid Castilla might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Sabadell - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.68%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Fran (G) 
Bonaldo 
Liameed Q. 
Coscia A. 
Fettal R. 
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