Match Info

Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)


	Villarreal B		Zamora

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.9	3.4
	2.1	3.05	3.4
	2.15	3.1	3.63
	2.16	3.05	3.6	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.4
	2.16	3.05	3.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.07)	2.99 ↓ (3.33)	3.51 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
43.3%

Draw
30.6%

Zamora
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

27.8%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.7%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Villarreal B - Zamora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomez R. (C) 2. Budesca D. 23. Valou J. 6. Spatz L. M. 3. Ortiz E. 8. Diatta A. 28. Macia C. 36. El Jmili N. 11. Lopez H. 26. Gaitan J. 24. Arguigue Safsati A.	1. Sobron F. (G) 14. Moreno D. 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 5. Ruiz E. 3. Merchan D. 7. Kike 6. Garcia M. 16. Lozano M. 10. Ramos C. (C) 19. Abde 9. Losada M.
Substitutes
33. Bonafe C. 17. Cabanes P. 10. Eto'o E. 14. Fores A. 25. Kinareykin Y. (G) 16. Pascual P. 21. Rodriguez I. 7. Salazar S. 4. Sierra I. 15. Tidiane Thiam C.	26. Alvaro (G) 4. Athuman I. 15. Buron L. 17. Carbonell J. 21. Lopez M. 23. Lopez S. 8. Marcelo A. 13. Pereda A. (G) 11. Romero Morillo A. 22. Sancho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Arguigue Safsati A. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Gaitan J. ⚽,
32', Ruiz E. 🟨,
37', Spatz L. M. 🟨,
45', Diatta A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Arguigue Safsati A. ↓, Cabanes P. ↑,
68', Abde ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
74', Diatta A. ↓, Tidiane Thiam C. ↑,
75', Lopez H. ↓, Bonafe C. ↑,
78', Garcia M. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
80', El Jmili N. 🟨,
86', Cabanes P. 🟨,
87', Merchan D. ↓, Buron L. ↑,
87', Moreno D. ↓, Athuman I. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Villarreal B is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zamora has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Villarreal B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Villarreal B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Villarreal B - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.71%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.05.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Villarreal B - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	CE Europa - Villarreal B	3:3 ✺
03.05.26	Villarreal B - Hércules	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Villarreal B - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTWT
- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.05.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Zamora	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Zamora - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Lugo - Zamora	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Zamora - Ponferradina	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Ourense CF - Zamora	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWWW

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