Match Info

Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ruta de la Plata (Zamora)


	Zamora		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	2.70	2.80	2.55
	2.88	2.90	2.60
	2.76	2.85	2.84
	3.24	2.81	2.47	Watch
	2.63	2.70	2.63
	2.79	2.84	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.46)	2.82 ↓ (3.25)	2.65 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
32.5%

Draw
32.7%

Sabadell
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.3%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27.1%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zamora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Zamora - Sabadell Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zamora will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sabadell will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sabadell (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabadell (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sobron F. (G) 14. Moreno D. 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 5. Ruiz E. 20. Codina M. 22. Sancho J. 10. Ramos C. 16. Lozano M. 7. Kike 19. Abde 9. Losada M.	1. Fuoli D. (G) 14. Astals D. 5. Bonaldo 4. Garcia C. 3. Fornes G. 22. Liameed Q. 20. Orriols Cerarols A. 19. Lopez J. 10. Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 23. Priego J. 9. Rodri
Substitutes
26. Alvaro (G) 4. Athuman I. 30. Borrajo H. 17. Carbonell J. 6. Garcia M. 21. Lopez M. 23. Lopez S. 8. Marcelo A. 3. Merchan D. 13. Pereda A. (G) 11. Romero Morillo A. 27. Sy M.	24. Aguilar Elizalde E. 2. Aleman C. 16. Godoy A. 15. Lazaro Cervera J. C. 11. Martinez R. 8. Moreno X. 13. Ortega J. (G) 18. Ortega J. 7. Ripoll T. 25. Ruiz N. (G) 21. Sergi 26. Tolosa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Losada M. ⚽,
42', Losada M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Kike 🟨,
56', Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 🟨,
59', Ramirez Carrasco M. A. ↓, Ripoll T. ↑,
66', Rodri ↓, Aguilar Elizalde E. ↑,
66', Garcia C. ↓, Sergi ↑,
70', Losada M. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
70', Sancho J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
72', Lopez J. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
72', Priego J. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
88', Ramos C. 🟨,
90+2', Abde ↓, Merchan D. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sabadell may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Zamora - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.41%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Sabadell - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.27%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.06.26	Zamora - Villarreal B	2:0 ET ✺
31.05.26	Villarreal B - Zamora	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Zamora	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Zamora - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Lugo - Zamora	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLW
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.06.26	Sabadell - Real Madrid Castilla	3:0 ✺
29.05.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.05.26	Tarazona - Sabadell	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Sabadell - Antequera	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Atlético Madrid B - Sabadell	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLL

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