The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sagamihara 33.8%
Draw 32.6%
Vanraure Hachinohe 33.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
32.7%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
31.6%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Vanraure Hachinohe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanraure Hachinohe than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
Sagamihara - Vanraure Hachinohe Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sagamihara will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Vanraure will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Kim Min-ho (G) 19. Okita S. 37. Yamauchi R. 13. Tokida M. 2. Watahiki K. 4. Shimakawa T. (C) 17. Takeuchi T. 10. Nakayama R. 7. Tanahashi A. 24. Sugimoto R. 9. Sasaki K.
13. Onishi S. (C) 11. Yukie H. 2. Hiramatsu W. 3. Sawada Y. 34. Takayoshi S. 24. Kurisawa R. 28. Tanaka T. 80. Nagata K. 8. Otoizumi S. 10. Sawakami R. 7. Sato A.
Substitutes
14. Ando T. 8. Kambe K. 20. Kawabata Y. 15. Maeda T. 18. Miki K. 1. Miura M. (G) 16. Takano R. 23. Takusari Y. 6. Tokunaga Y.
30. Inami Y. 16. Kaburaki M. 99. Nakano S. 17. Sato Y. 41. Shirai H. 4. Suzuki S. 26. Takahashi K. 9. Takao R. 25. Taniguchi Y. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Tanahashi A. ⚽, Watahiki K. (A),
32', Shimakawa T. 🟨,
37', Okita S. 🟨,
44', Kurisawa R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tanaka T. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
58', Kurisawa R. ↓, Shirai H. ↑,
61', Sugimoto R. ↓, Maeda T. ↑,
70', Sawakami R. ↓, Takao R. ↑,
70', Sato A. ↓, Kaburaki M. ↑,
77', Shimakawa T. ↓, Takusari Y. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Takao R. ⚽,
80', Tanahashi A. 🟨,
87', Sasaki K. ↓, Ando T. ↑,
87', Nakayama R. ↓, Takano R. ↑,
90+2', Hiramatsu W. 🟨,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Takao R. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Yamauchi R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kaburaki M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Maeda T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Yukie H. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Tanahashi A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Otoizumi S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Takusari Y. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 3.
Sagamihara is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Vanraure is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Vanraure has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
We predict that Sagamihara will win today's game, with odds of 2.78.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sagamihara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Sagamihara - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.49%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Vanraure Hachinohe - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.79%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.