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Current Win Probability
Tochigi City 44.7%
Draw 27%
Sagamihara 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.8%
25.8%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.5%
26.2%
22%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tochigi City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tochigi City's form might have worsened.
Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sagamihara's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tochigi City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sagamihara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tochigi City - Sagamihara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Aizawa P. (G) 14. Kotake S. 42. Jonjic M. 17. Chinen T. 32. Koike Y. 20. Pedro Augusto 18. Kato M. 24. Nishiya K. 77. Tanaka P. 9. Suzuki M. 23. Yoshida A.
21. Kim Min-ho (G) 5. Kato D. 37. Yamauchi R. 13. Tokida M. 2. Watahiki K. 4. Shimakawa T. 17. Takeuchi T. 10. Nakayama R. 7. Tanahashi A. 24. Sugimoto R. 9. Sasaki K.
Substitutes
1. Harada Y. (G) 19. Karlsson D.M. 6. Kato Jo 28. Konishi K. 7. Mori T. 10. Okaniwa Y. 29. Saito K. 22. Suzuki H. 8. Yamashita K.
14. Ando T. 15. Maeda T. 18. Miki K. 19. Okita S. 3. Pytlik K. 22. Sugimoto D. (G) 16. Takano R. 23. Takusari Y. 6. Tokunaga Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Nakayama R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Sugimoto R. 🟨,
66', Takeuchi T. 🟨,
70', Pedro Augusto 🟨,
72', Tanaka P. ↓, Karlsson D.M. ↑,
73', Nakayama R. ↓, Maeda T. ↑,
79', Suzuki M. ↓, Yamashita K. ↑,
79', Kato M. ↓, Mori T. ↑,
82', Shimakawa T. ↓, Takusari Y. ↑,
82', Sasaki K. ↓, Takano R. ↑,
89', Tanahashi A. ↓, Ando T. ↑,
89', Kato D. ↓, Pytlik K. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Karlsson D.M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Ando T. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Yamashita K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Maeda T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Yoshida A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Yamauchi R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Kotake S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Takeuchi T. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Tochigi City is a strong favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tochigi City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Tochigi City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
China
Japan
Watch
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Aizawa P. (G) 
Jonjic M. 
Pedro Augusto 
Kim Min-ho (G) 
Karlsson D.M. 
Kato Jo 
Pytlik K. 
