Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 23

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
France	beIN Sports


	Saint-Étienne		Dijon

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.4
	1.8	3.45	4.25
	1.82	3.68	4.67
	1.78	3.3	4.6
	1.81	3.6	4.4	Watch
	1.8	3.45	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.99)	3.48 ↑ (3.43)	4.47 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
52.2%

Draw
26.9%

Dijon
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

27.1%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

26.3%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint-Étienne's performance.

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dijon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	5.3%	15.8%

Saint Étienne - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Saint-Étienne has the most likely position - 12 (9.3%), has project points - 48, has currently - 24, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Dijon has the most likely position - 18 (13.71%), has project points - 41, has currently - 21, has a chance of relegated (49%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 34, importance 44, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 2.

Recent matches Saint-Étienne is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dijon is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Saint-Étienne could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Saint-Étienne is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Étienne won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
04.02.23	Saint-Étienne - Annecy	3:2 ✺
31.01.23	Bastia - Saint-Étienne	2:0 ✺
28.01.23	Saint-Étienne - Sochaux	2:3 ✺
16.01.23	Niort - Saint-Étienne	0:1 ✺
10.01.23	Saint-Étienne - Laval	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWW
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
03.02.23	Dijon - Niort	0:1 ✺
31.01.23	Laval - Dijon	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Dijon - Bordeaux	0:3 ✺
13.01.23	Dijon - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
10.01.23	Paris FC - Dijon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
30.07.22	Dijon - Saint-Étienne	2:1
French Ligue 1
23.05.21	Saint-Étienne - Dijon	0:1
06.12.20	Dijon - Saint-Étienne	0:0
23.05.20	Saint-Étienne - Dijon	Canceled
10.08.19	Dijon - Saint-Étienne	1:2
22.02.19	Dijon - Saint-Étienne	0:1
Coupe De France
23.01.19	Saint-Étienne - Dijon	3:6

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