Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht)

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 5, New World Sport 6, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
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Vietnam	ON Plus


	Saint-Gilloise		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	5	3.75	1.7
	4.95	3.8	1.75
	5.26	3.75	1.76
	5.05	3.98	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.07 ↑ (4.31)	3.82 ↓ (4.06)	1.75 (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
19.1%

Draw
25.4%

Inter Milan
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

23.5%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

23.7%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.4%	7.3%	90.2%

Saint Gilloise - Inter Milan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Union SG (2.07) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1 - Inter (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (110 of 122 users predict this - 90.16%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.87% – 95.45%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (50 of 55 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 58 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 1 - 1.7%). Inter (votes: 52 - 89.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 8.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Scherpen K. (G) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. (C) 48. Leysen F. 25. Khalaili A. 8. Zorgane A. 4. Rasmussen M. 6. Van De Perre K. 22. Niang O. 12. David P. 10. Ait El Hadj A.	1. Sommer Y. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 6. de Vrij S. 95. Bastoni A. 2. Dumfries D. 16. Frattesi D. 20. Calhanoglu H. 7. Zielinski P. 30. Carlos Augusto 10. Martinez L. (C) 94. Esposito F.
Substitutes
3. Barry M. T. 23. Boufal S. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 30. Florucz R. 20. Giger M. 11. Guilherme Smith 27. Patris L. 13. Rodriguez K. 17. Schoofs R. 26. Sykes R.	15. Acerbi F. 25. Akanji M. 23. Barella N. 14. Bonny A. 40. Calligaris A. (G) 32. Dimarco F. 17. Diouf A. 11. Luis Henrique 13. Martinez J. (G) 22. Mkhitaryan H. 8. Sucic P.
Coaches
Hubert D.	Chivu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', de Vrij S. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Dumfries D. ⚽, Bisseck Y. (A),
45+1', 0 - 2, Martinez L. ⚽, Esposito F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', de Vrij S. ↓, Akanji M. ↑,
53', 0 - 3, Calhanoglu H. (Pen),
58', Martinez L. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
59', Bastoni A. ↓, Dimarco F. ↑,
59', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Sucic P. ↑,
60', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Florucz R. ↑,
61', Rasmussen M. ↓, Giger M. ↑,
61', David P. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
75', Niang O. ↓, Patris L. ↑,
76', 0 - 4, Esposito F. ⚽, Bonny A. (A),
77', Dumfries D. ↓, Luis Henrique ↑,
84', Zorgane A. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
89', Schoofs R. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Lotto Park.

In recent matches, Union SG has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Inter is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Inter is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Union SG: Francois G. (Inactive) Fuseini M. (Ankle Injury) Pavlic I. (Inactive) Teunckens J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Inter: Darmian M. (Calf Injury) Di Gennaro R. (Wrist Injury) Palacios T. (Inactive) Thuram M. (Thigh Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.10.25	Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Club Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.25	Saint-Gilloise - Newcastle United	0:4 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.09.25	Saint-Gilloise - Westerlo	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Genk - Saint-Gilloise	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW
- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
18.10.25	Roma - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Inter Milan - Cremonese	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Inter Milan - Slavia Prague	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
27.09.25	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Inter Milan - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

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