Match Info

Serie A - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	13:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	20:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	22:00	Begin
Belarus	19:00	Sport TV
Belgium	18:00	DAZN 1
Bolivia	12:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	13:00	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	23:00	MyTV
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network, TLN, VIVA
Colombia	11:00	ESPN
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Ecuador	11:00	ESPN
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	19:00	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	18:00	DAZN France
Georgia	20:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	18:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	00:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	18:00	Match 4
India	21:30	ZEE5
Indonesia	23:00	Vidio
Iraq	19:00	Almanasa
Israel	19:00	5 SPORT Israel, Sport 3
Italy	18:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	01:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:00	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	19:00	Shasha
Macao	00:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	00:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	04:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	18:00	VG+
Paraguay	12:00	ESPN
Peru	11:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	19:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	19:00	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	18:00	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 1
South Korea	01:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Suriname	13:00	SCCN
Sweden	18:00	DAZN, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	23:00	True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	17:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	19:00	S Sport 2
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:00	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, DAZN
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	CBS Sports Network, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+, ESPN


	Roma		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.40	2.55	Watch
	2.65	3.40	2.60
	2.65	3.40	2.48	Watch
	2.78	3.50	2.72
	2.63	3.55	2.71	Watch
	2.70	3.35	2.60
	2.83	3.45	2.51
	2.75	3.55	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.55)	3.45 ↓ (3.46)	2.59 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
35.3%

Draw
27.7%

Inter Milan
37%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.3%

27.5%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

27.6%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.3%	42.9%	17.9%

Roma - Inter Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). Inter will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 40.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 22.2% – 59.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Inter (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Roma (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.41) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

BTTS - yes (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Inter (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Inter (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.57) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Inter (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 26. Balerdi L. 22. Hermoso M. 43. Wesley Franca 4. Cristante B. (C) 17. Kone M. 20. Molina N. 21. Dybala P. 18. Soule M. 14. Malen D.	1. Martinez J. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 25. Akanji M. 95. Bastoni A. 17. Diouf A. 23. Barella N. 7. Zielinski P. 21. Jones C. 32. Dimarco F. 9. Thuram M. 10. Martinez L. (C)
Substitutes
9. Castro S. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 15. De Roon M. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 3. Koulierakis K. 77. Lulli E. 86. Mora R. 5. Ndicka E. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D.	14. Bonny A. 46. Bovio L. 30. Carlos Augusto 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 94. Esposito F. 11. Luis Henrique 22. Mkhitaryan H. 48. Mosconi M. 28. Pavard B. 49. Provedel I. (G) 5. Stankovic A. 8. Sucic P.
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Chivu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Kone M. ⚽, Molina N. (A),
11', Barella N. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Kone M. ⚽, Mancini G. (A),
45+4', Akanji M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 2 - 1, Martinez L. ⚽, Thuram M. (A),
54', Jones C. ↓, Sucic P. ↑,
54', Dimarco F. ↓, Carlos Augusto ↑,
57', Bastoni A. 🟨,
60', Mancini G. ↓, Ndicka E. ↑,
60', Kone M. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
60', Molina N. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
63', Bastoni A. ↓, Luis Henrique ↑,
66', Balerdi L. ↓, Ghilardi D. ↑,
73', Ndicka E. 🟨,
79', 2 - 2, Martinez L. ⚽, Bisseck Y. (A),
81', Hermoso M. ↓, Koulierakis K. ↑,
82', Koulierakis K. 🟨,
89', Ghilardi D. 🟨,
90', Thuram M. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
90', Martinez L. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 1.

Roma is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Inter is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Roma: Bah M. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Inter: Calhanoglu H. (Muscle Injury) Stones J. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Inter: Spence D. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Roma has recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:38 (averaging 1.1:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Roma against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with 9:20 goals (averaging 1:2.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	9	8	1	0	25:10	15	25
3	AS Roma	9	6	3	0	23:8	15	21

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Inter: 53.37% AS Roma: 13.44%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
14.09.26	Torino - Roma	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Roma	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
05.09.26	Roma - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Lecce - Roma	0:4 ✺
24.08.26	Roma - Fiorentina	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWWW
- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
14.09.26	Inter Milan - Udinese	5:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	Real Madrid - Inter Milan	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
05.09.26	Inter Milan - Napoli	3:2 ✺
30.08.26	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Inter Milan - Monza	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
05.04.26	Inter Milan - Roma	5:2
18.10.25	Roma - Inter Milan	0:1
27.04.25	Inter Milan - Roma	0:1
20.10.24	Roma - Inter Milan	0:1
10.02.24	Roma - Inter Milan	2:4
29.10.23	Inter Milan - Roma	1:0
06.05.23	Roma - Inter Milan	0:2

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