Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht)

Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Saint-Gilloise		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.75	1.91
	3.8	3.8	1.95
	4.09	3.79	1.95
	3.89	3.89	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.18)	3.81 ↑ (3.77)	1.95 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
24.9%

Draw
25.4%

Newcastle United
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

25.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

26.1%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint-Gilloise's form might have worsened.

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.7%	20%	64.3%

Saint Gilloise - Newcastle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 11 - 16.2%). Newcastle will win (votes: 43 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 20.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 51.7% – 74.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 3 - 10.7%). Newcastle (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Union SG (1.89) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Union SG (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 6 - 18.8%). Newcastle (votes: 20 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Scherpen K. (G) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. (C) 48. Leysen F. 25. Khalaili A. 8. Zorgane A. 6. Van De Perre K. 22. Niang O. 10. Ait El Hadj A. 12. David P. 13. Rodriguez K.	1. Pope N. (G) 2. Trippier K. 12. Thiaw M. 4. Botman S. 33. Burn D. 39. Bruno Guimaraes (C) 8. Tonali S. 7. Joelinton 20. Elanga A. 27. Woltemade N. 10. Gordon A.
Substitutes
3. Barry M. T. 33. Berradi S. 23. Boufal S. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 20. Giger M. 11. Guilherme Smith 27. Patris L. 4. Rasmussen M. 17. Schoofs R. 26. Sykes R.	11. Barnes H. 3. Hall L. 17. Krafth E. 67. Miley L. 37. Murphy A. 23. Murphy J. 18. Osula W. 32. Ramsdale A. (G) 5. Schar F. 31. Thompson M. (G) 28. Willock J.
Coaches
Pocognoli S.	Howe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Woltemade N. ⚽, Tonali S. (A),
36', Joelinton 🟨,
39', Van De Perre K. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Gordon A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', David P. ↓, Giger M. ↑,
51', Burgess C. 🟨,
57', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
59', Joelinton ↓, Miley L. ↑,
60', Giger M. 🟨,
64', 0 - 3, Gordon A. (Pen),
67', Van De Perre K. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
67', Mac Allister K. ↓, Sykes R. ↑,
73', Elanga A. ↓, Barnes H. ↑,
73', Woltemade N. ↓, Osula W. ↑,
73', Bruno Guimaraes ↓, Hall L. ↑,
74', Rodriguez K. ↓, Boufal S. ↑,
78', Khalaili A. ↓, Patris L. ↑,
80', 0 - 4, Barnes H. ⚽, Osula W. (A),
83', Trippier K. ↓, Schar F. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Lotto Park.

Union SG has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Union SG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Newcastle has had a series of home games.

Newcastle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Union SG: Florucz R. (Red Card) Fuseini M. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Newcastle: Ashby H. (Inactive) Gillespie M. (Inactive) Lascelles J. (Inactive) Livramento V. (Knee Injury) Ramsey J. (Ankle Injury) Ruddy J. (Inactive) Wissa Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Newcastle: Schar F. (Head Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.09.25	Saint-Gilloise - Westerlo	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Genk - Saint-Gilloise	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.09.25	PSV Eindhoven - Saint-Gilloise	1:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.09.25	Dender EH - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWW
- Newcastle United
English Premier League
28.09.25	Newcastle United - Arsenal	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
24.09.25	Newcastle United - Bradford City	4:1 ✺
English Premier League
21.09.25	Bournemouth - Newcastle United	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Newcastle United - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
13.09.25	Newcastle United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWTLW

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