Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	13:45	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	20:45	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	02:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	18:45	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	13:45	Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:45	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	12:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	13:45	ESPN Premium
China	00:45	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	11:45	ESPN
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	18:45	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	19:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	18:45	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	20:45	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	18:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	00:45	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	18:45	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	16:45	SÝN Sport 2
India	22:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Iran	20:15	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	17:45	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	01:45	Wowow Live
Kenya	19:45	Gotv
Laos	23:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	18:45	TSN Malta 7
Mexico	10:45	Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	05:45	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	17:45	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte
North Macedonia	18:45	TDM Desporto
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	21:45	Tapmad
Peru	11:45	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	18:45	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	19:45	Okko Sport
Singapore	00:45	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	18:45	Voyo
South Africa	18:45	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	01:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	18:45	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	23:45	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	19:45	Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:45	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	13:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	12:45	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	23:45	ON Football, ON Plus


	Saint-Gilloise		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.75	1.91
	3.8	3.8	1.95
	4.09	3.79	1.95
	3.89	3.89	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.18)	3.81 ↑ (3.77)	1.95 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
24.9%

Draw
25.4%

Newcastle United
49.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30%

25.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

26.1%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint-Gilloise's form might have worsened.

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.7%	20%	64.3%

Saint Gilloise - Newcastle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 11 - 16.2%). Newcastle will win (votes: 43 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 20.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 51.7% – 74.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 3 - 10.7%). Newcastle (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Union SG (1.89) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Union SG (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 6 - 18.8%). Newcastle (votes: 20 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Scherpen K. (G) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. (C) 48. Leysen F. 25. Khalaili A. 8. Zorgane A. 6. Van De Perre K. 22. Niang O. 10. Ait El Hadj A. 12. David P. 13. Rodriguez K.	1. Pope N. (G) 2. Trippier K. 12. Thiaw M. 4. Botman S. 33. Burn D. 39. Bruno Guimaraes (C) 8. Tonali S. 7. Joelinton 20. Elanga A. 27. Woltemade N. 10. Gordon A.
Substitutes
3. Barry M. T. 33. Berradi S. 23. Boufal S. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 20. Giger M. 11. Guilherme Smith 27. Patris L. 4. Rasmussen M. 17. Schoofs R. 26. Sykes R.	11. Barnes H. 3. Hall L. 17. Krafth E. 67. Miley L. 37. Murphy A. 23. Murphy J. 18. Osula W. 32. Ramsdale A. (G) 5. Schar F. 31. Thompson M. (G) 28. Willock J.
Coaches
Pocognoli S.	Howe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Woltemade N. ⚽, Tonali S. (A),
36', Joelinton 🟨,
39', Van De Perre K. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Gordon A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', David P. ↓, Giger M. ↑,
51', Burgess C. 🟨,
57', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
59', Joelinton ↓, Miley L. ↑,
60', Giger M. 🟨,
64', 0 - 3, Gordon A. (Pen),
67', Van De Perre K. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
67', Mac Allister K. ↓, Sykes R. ↑,
73', Elanga A. ↓, Barnes H. ↑,
73', Woltemade N. ↓, Osula W. ↑,
73', Bruno Guimaraes ↓, Hall L. ↑,
74', Rodriguez K. ↓, Boufal S. ↑,
78', Khalaili A. ↓, Patris L. ↑,
80', 0 - 4, Barnes H. ⚽, Osula W. (A),
83', Trippier K. ↓, Schar F. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Lotto Park.

Union SG has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Union SG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Newcastle has had a series of home games.

Newcastle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Union SG: Florucz R. (Red Card) Fuseini M. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Newcastle: Ashby H. (Inactive) Gillespie M. (Inactive) Lascelles J. (Inactive) Livramento V. (Knee Injury) Ramsey J. (Ankle Injury) Ruddy J. (Inactive) Wissa Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Newcastle: Schar F. (Head Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.09.25	Saint-Gilloise - Westerlo	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Genk - Saint-Gilloise	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.09.25	PSV Eindhoven - Saint-Gilloise	1:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.09.25	Dender EH - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWW
- Newcastle United
English Premier League
28.09.25	Newcastle United - Arsenal	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
24.09.25	Newcastle United - Bradford City	4:1 ✺
English Premier League
21.09.25	Bournemouth - Newcastle United	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Newcastle United - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
13.09.25	Newcastle United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWTLW

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