Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 31

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Joseph Marien (Brussels) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:45	DAZN
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Belgium	20:45	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	14:45	DAZN
Brazil	15:45	DAZN Brasil
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	13:45	DAZN
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	14:45	DAZN
Portugal	19:45	DAZN / App
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	02:45	DAZN
Uruguay	15:45	DAZN
Usa	14:45	DAZN USA
Venezuela	14:45	DAZN


	Saint-Gilloise		Sint-Truidense

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.9	4.85	Watch
	1.63	4.05	5.67
	1.62	4	5.39
	1.65	3.6	4.8
	1.68	3.93	5.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.76)	3.85 ↑ (3.64)	5.17 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
57.3%

Draw
24.5%

Sint-Truidense
18.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.1%

25.7%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

24.8%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	5%	0%

Saint Gilloise - Sint Truidense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Sint-Truidense (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Union SG (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Union SG (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC, 2nd Half - Union SG (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC, 1st Half - Union SG (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 1st Half - Union SG (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 2nd Half - Union SG (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Saint-Gilloise will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Saint-Gilloise will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 9 - 90%). Sint-Truidense (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Scherpen K. (G) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. (C) 26. Sykes R. 25. Khalaili A. 17. Schoofs R. 8. Zorgane A. 11. Guilherme Smith 23. Zeneli B. 10. Ait El Hadj A. 9. Biondic M.	16. Kokubo L. (G) 60. Vanwesemael R. 4. Mbe Soh L. 5. Taniguchi S. (C) 3. Hata T. 6. Yamamoto R. 8. Sissako A. 7. Muja A. 13. Ito R. 10. Sebaoui I. 42. Goto K.
Substitutes
1. Chambaere V. (G) 30. Florucz R. 19. Francois G. 7. Fuseini M. 48. Leysen F. 22. Niang O. 27. Patris L. 14. Pavlic I. 13. Rodriguez K. 29. Sylla M.	12. Coppens J. (G) 11. Delpupo I. 77. Diouf O. 33. Diriken A. 22. Janssens W. 21. Lendfers M. (G) 38. Matsuzawa K. 14. Merlen R. 26. Musliu V. 23. Pupe J.
Coaches
Hubert D.	Vrancken W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Guilherme Smith ⚽, Ait El Hadj A. (A),
63', Vanwesemael R. 🟨,
68', Sebaoui I. ↓, Diouf O. ↑,
69', Vanwesemael R. ↓, Musliu V. ↑,
69', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
72', Biondic M. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
79', Sissako A. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
79', Ito R. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
82', Guilherme Smith ↓, Patris L. ↑,
82', Zeneli B. ↓, Fuseini M. ↑,
87', Zorgane A. 🟨,
90+2', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Pavlic I. ↑,
90+7', Burgess C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 4.

Union SG has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Sint-Truidense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Union SG is a strong favorite.

We predict that Union SG will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Union SG won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Royale Union SG	8	6	2	0	22:4	18	20
12	St. Truiden	8	2	2	4	15:16	-1	8

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Royale Union SG: 24.83% St. Truiden: 0.64%

Last Results with these Odds

Saint-Gilloise - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 53.06%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.03.26	Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Saint-Gilloise - Dender EH	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Saint-Gilloise - Genk	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Westerlo - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Saint-Gilloise - Royal Antwerp	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWTW
- Sint-Truidense VV
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.03.26	Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise	1:3 ✺
15.03.26	Genk - Sint-Truidense	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Sint-Truidense - Cercle Brugge	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Royal Antwerp - Sint-Truidense	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Dender EH - Sint-Truidense	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.03.26	Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise	1:3
26.10.25	Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense	2:0
02.02.25	Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense	2:1
25.08.24	Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise	0:0
21.01.24	Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense	2:1
08.10.23	Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise	0:4
02.04.23	Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense	2:1

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