The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saint-Gilloise 28.3%
Draw 31.6%
Union Berlin 40.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.5%
26.8%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
26.9%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint-Gilloise's form might have worsened.
Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.9%
34.3%
47.8%
Saint Gilloise - Union Berlin Predictions
Users Predictions:
67 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 12 - 17.9%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 32 - 47.8%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 34.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 35.8% – 59.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Union SG has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a chance of qtrs (39%), a small chance of semis (11%), a very small chance of final (3%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Union Berlin has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (61%), a chance of semis (25%), a small chance of final (10%), a very small chance of win league (4%).
This event has quality64, importance65, match rating65. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Union Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Union SG have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Union SG: Vertessen Y.
(Injury)
There will not play in Union Berlin: Doekhi D.
(Muscle Injury)
Khedira R.
(Muscle Injury)
Schafer A.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Union SG: Eckert Ayensa D.
(Injury)
Sykes R.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Union Berlin: Giesselmann N.
(Illness)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Union SG won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Union SG won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
Africa
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Austria
Croatia
Finland
Germany
Norway
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United-kingdom
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