Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 13 April 2023, Thursday

Location: BayArena (Leverkusen)

Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	Canvas, RTBF
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	RTL
Italy	Sky Sport
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Bayer Leverkusen		Saint-Gilloise

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.5
	1.46	4.6	6.75
	1.52	4.7	6.5
	1.48	4.5	6.5
	1.48	4.72	6.89
	1.47	4.5	7
	1.44	4.75	6.75
	1.49	4.6	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.62)	4.64 ↑ (4.04)	6.74 ↑ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
65.1%

Draw
20.7%

Saint-Gilloise
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

23.5%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.7%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bayer Leverkusen's performance.

Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.2%	8.5%	5.3%

Bayer Leverkusen - Saint Gilloise Predictions

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (81 of 94 users predict this - 86.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.19% – 93.15%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Bayer has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a good chance of semis (76%), a chance of final (40%), a chance of win league (20%).

Union SG has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a chance of semis (24%), a small chance of final (6%), a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 68, very big importance 92, big match rating 80. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

In this match Bayer is certain favorite.

There will not play in Bayer: Amiri N. (Muscle Injury) Demirbay K. (Knock) Lunev A. (Back Injury) Schick P. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Union SG: Eckert Ayensa D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bayer: Hincapie P. (Hip Injury)

Our prediction for today's Bayer to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
08.04.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:1 ✺
01.04.23	Schalke 04 - Bayer Leverkusen	0:3 ✺
19.03.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.03.23	Ferencvárosi - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
12.03.23	Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWWW
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.04.23	Gent - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense	2:1 ✺
19.03.23	Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.03.23	Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin	3:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.03.23	Genk - Saint-Gilloise	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWWW

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