Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 31

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen)

Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Caen		Bordeaux

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.2	3	Watch
	2.35	3.25	2.9
	2.35	3.3	2.95	Watch
	2.42	3.3	3.13
	2.42	3.27	3.13
	2.3	3.25	3
	2.38	3.38	2.97	Watch
	2.36	3.25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.46)	3.28 ↓ (3.3)	3 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
39.8%

Draw
28.8%

Bordeaux
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

28.7%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Caen - Bordeaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Bordeaux will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mandrea A. (G) 61. Traore B. 29. Thomas R. (C) 27. Meddah D. 4. Henry V. 6. Daubin Q. 20. Lebreton N. 2. Abdi A. 21. Brahimi B. 19. Mendy A. 11. Le Bihan M.	1. Johnsson K. (G) 4. Bokele M. 24. Marcelin J. 5. Barbet Y. (C) 19. Ekomie J. 20. Diaz P. 6. Ignatenko D. 7. Livolant J. 30. Davitashvili Z. 11. Pitu A. 10. Weissbeck G.
Substitutes
23. Autret M. 5. Ben Youssef S. 16. Clementia Y. (G) 92. Coeff A. 97. Gaucho Debohi D. 18. Mbock H. 15. Salama A.	. Angely M. 33. Grillot J. 34. Michelin C. 8. Sissokho I. 13. Straczek R. (G) 47. Vetro J. 9. Vipotnik Z.
Coaches
Seube N.	Riera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Diaz P. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
35', Lebreton N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Pitu A. 🟨,
64', Meddah D. 🟨,
67', Pitu A. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
67', Livolant J. ↓, Vetro J. ↑,
67', Meddah D. ↓, Autret M. ↑,
73', Bokele M. ↓, Michelin C. ↑,
76', Lebreton N. ↓, Mbock H. ↑,
76', Daubin Q. ↓, Gaucho Debohi D. ↑,
76', Le Bihan M. ↓, Salama A. ↑,
87', Diaz P. ↓, Sissokho I. ↑,
87', Marcelin J. ↓, Angely M. ↑,
88', Traore B. ↓, Coeff A. ↑,
90+6', Sissokho I. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Caen won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
30.03.24	Quevilly - Caen	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Auxerre - Caen	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Caen - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Pau - Caen	2:3 ✺
26.02.24	Caen - Angers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLWW
- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 2
30.03.24	Bordeaux - Paris FC	3:3 ✺
16.03.24	Annecy - Bordeaux	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	Bordeaux - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Rodez - Bordeaux	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Bordeaux - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
03.10.23	Bordeaux - Caen	1:1
06.05.23	Bordeaux - Caen	1:0
10.01.23	Caen - Bordeaux	2:2
Club Friendly
18.07.21	Bordeaux - Caen	2:1
French Ligue 1
24.05.19	Caen - Bordeaux	0:1
11.11.18	Bordeaux - Caen	0:0
16.01.18	Bordeaux - Caen	0:2

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