Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 32

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Matmut Atlantique (Bordeaux)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Bordeaux		Bastia

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.75	Watch
	1.93	3.4	3.75
	1.95	3.4	3.75	Watch
	2	3.59	4.12
	1.93	3.59	4.12
	1.91	3.5	3.7
	1.95	3.6	3.82	Watch
	1.97	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.89)	3.51 ↑ (3.5)	3.83 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
48.4%

Draw
26.9%

Bastia
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

26.6%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	27.3%	18.2%

Bordeaux - Bastia Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bordeaux will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Bastia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bordeaux: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnsson K. (G) 4. Bokele M. 24. Marcelin J. 5. Barbet Y. (C) 19. Ekomie J. 6. Ignatenko D. 8. Sissokho I. 20. Diaz P. 10. Weissbeck G. 30. Davitashvili Z. 7. Livolant J.	30. Placide J. (G) 15. Bohnert F. 42. Tavares D. 95. Keita C. 5. Drame I. 7. Vincent C. (C) 13. Ducrocq T. 99. Okou Y. 66. Janneh J. 10. Alfarela M. 17. Bianchini F.
Substitutes
35. Angely M. 33. Grillot J. 34. Michelin C. 13. Straczek R. (G) 47. Vetro J. 9. Vipotnik Z.	14. Charbonier G. 23. Fabri J. (G) 24. Meynadier T. 9. Santelli B. 26. Siby M. 21. Souboul M. 18. Tomi F.
Coaches
Riera A.	Moretti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Vincent C. ⚽, Bohnert F. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Vincent C. ⚽,
32', 0 - 3, Alfarela M. ⚽, Janneh J. (A),
34', Ignatenko D. 🟨,
44', 1 - 3, Davitashvili Z. ⚽, Diaz P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Barbet Y. ↓, Angely M. ↑,
46', Marcelin J. ↓, Michelin C. ↑,
46', Ignatenko D. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
46', 2 - 3, Livolant J. ⚽,
52', Alfarela M. ↓, Santelli B. ↑,
70', Livolant J. ↓, Vetro J. ↑,
72', Bohnert F. ↓, Meynadier T. ↑,
72', Vincent C. ↓, Siby M. ↑,
77', Drame I. 🟨,
83', Bokele M. 🟨,
84', Bianchini F. ↓, Tomi F. ↑,
85', Janneh J. ↓, Charbonier G. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bordeaux will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 2
06.04.24	Caen - Bordeaux	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Bordeaux - Paris FC	3:3 ✺
16.03.24	Annecy - Bordeaux	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	Bordeaux - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Rodez - Bordeaux	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLTT
- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
06.04.24	Bastia - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Laval - Bastia	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Bastia - Saint-Étienne	0:4 ✺
09.03.24	Troyes - Bastia	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Bastia - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
04.11.23	Bastia - Bordeaux	3:1
08.04.23	Bordeaux - Bastia	2:0
17.10.22	Bastia - Bordeaux	1:1
French Ligue 1
22.04.17	Bordeaux - Bastia	2:0
30.11.16	Bastia - Bordeaux	1:1
20.03.16	Bordeaux - Bastia	1:1
02.12.15	Bastia - Bordeaux	1:0

Bordeaux - Bastia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide