Match Info

1. Lig - Round 31

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Corum Stadyumu (Corum)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Çorum		Erokspor

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.53	3.02	2.73
	2.7	3.25	2.73
	2.37	3.45	2.8
	2.6	3	2.63
	2.63	3.3	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.69)	3.2 ↓ (3.46)	2.66 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Çorum
36.2%

Draw
29%

Erokspor
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

26.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

26.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Çorum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çorum than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	20%	26.7%

Çorum - Erokspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Çorum will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Erokspor will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Çorum: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Çorum (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sehic I. (C) 3. Attamah J. 5. Osmanoglu S. 15. Sengul A. 39. Kas E. 14. Pedrinho 18. Samudio B. 66. Ildiz A. 16. Fredy 77. Coban B. 7. Gurler S.	34. Cetin E. (G) 77. Bilazer H. 97. Cavare D. 14. Ulas O. 33. Alic E. 6. Jack R. (C) 5. Okyar M. 89. Amilton 99. Beyaz O. 11. Faye M. 10. Kayode O.
Substitutes
8. Akkaynak A. 10. Erdogan Y. 20. Gurbulak O. 22. Kalafat K. 1. Kivanc A. (G) 33. Sarikaya E. 19. Sertel C. 6. Yazgan F. 21. Zubairu I.	7. Catakovic H. 19. Gedik E. 12. Kanga G. 8. Karaman A. 17. Korkmaz E. 73. Lus B. 20. Niyaz R. 15. Nzaba F. 44. Oral E. A. (G) 1. Tetik B. (G)
Coaches
Ucar U.	Ozkoylu O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Osmanoglu S. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Coban B. ⚽, Samudio B. (A),
42', Coban B. 🟨,
45+5', Ildiz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Beyaz O. ↓, Niyaz R. ↑,
48', Okyar M. 🟨,
58', Okyar M. ↓, Kanga G. ↑,
58', Amilton ↓, Lus B. ↑,
59', Samudio B. 🟨,
64', Ildiz A. ↓, Yazgan F. ↑,
71', Gurler S. ↓, Erdogan Y. ↑,
71', Cavare D. ↓, Nzaba F. ↑,
71', Jack R. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
74', Kas E. 🟨,
76', Akkaynak A. 🟥,
78', 1 - 1, Catakovic H. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Pedrinho ↓, Gurbulak O. ↑,
90+1', Faye M. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Samudio B. ⚽,
90+6', Fredy 🟨,
90+7', Nzaba F. 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).

In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.

Erokspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Çorum: Cangoz A. (Suspended) Geraldo (Inactive) Karadag E. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Çorum: Thiam M. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Çorum won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Çorum won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Erokspor	8	0	5	3	4:10	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Çorum FK
Turkish First League
12.03.26	Boluspor - Çorum	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Çorum - Hatayspor	3:1 ✺
02.03.26	Manisa FK - Çorum	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Çorum - Umraniyespor	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Serik Belediyespor - Çorum	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW
- Erokspor
Turkish First League
12.03.26	Erokspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Bodrumspor - Erokspor	3:4 ✺
27.02.26	Erokspor - Boluspor	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Igdirspor - Erokspor	0:3 ✺
17.02.26	İstanbulspor - Erokspor	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
03.11.25	Erokspor - Çorum	3:1
05.04.25	Çorum - Erokspor	3:3
24.11.24	Erokspor - Çorum	2:2
Turkish Second League White Group
29.03.23	Çorum - Erokspor	1:0
15.10.22	Erokspor - Çorum	2:0

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