Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 20

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	Salamanca		Becerril

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.33	8.25
	1.3	4.5	9.5
	1.24	5.08	9.95
	1.28	4.8	9.35
	1.3	4.5	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.51)	4.64 ↑ (3.6)	9.31 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salamanca
70.6%

Draw
19.6%

Becerril
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25.3%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

24%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salamanca's performance.

Becerril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salamanca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Becerril than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 7).

Salamanca in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Becerril is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Salamanca is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Salamanca won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Salamanca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salamanca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
04.02.24	Mirandés B - Salamanca	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Salamanca - La Virgen del Camino	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Salamanca - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
13.01.24	Ponferradina B - Salamanca	1:5 ✺
07.01.24	Salamanca - Colegios Diocesanos	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWWW
- CD Becerril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
04.02.24	Becerril - Villaralbo	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Real Ávila - Becerril	3:1 ✺
21.01.24	Bembibre - Becerril	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Becerril - Laguna de Tenerife	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Palencia CA - Becerril	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
24.09.23	Becerril - Salamanca	0:4
05.03.23	Becerril - Salamanca	1:2
30.10.22	Salamanca - Becerril	2:1

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