Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Salamanca		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.85	3.1	3.95
	1.85	3.38	4.27
	1.83	3.35	4.14	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.87	3.33	4.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.14)	3.23 ↑ (3.14)	4.1 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salamanca
49.6%

Draw
28.2%

Bergantiños
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.7%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27.7%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salamanca's performance.

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bergantiños might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salamanca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bergantiños could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Salamanca - Bergantiños Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Salamanca is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salamanca won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Salamanca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bergantinos	5	4	1	0	12:5	7	13

Last Results with these Odds

Salamanca - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.2%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Bergantiños - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.11%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salamanca
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.03.26	Sarriana - Salamanca	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Salamanca - Sámano	5:1 ✺
01.03.26	Real Oviedo B - Salamanca	5:2 ✺
22.02.26	Salamanca - Marino de Luanco	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Real Ávila - Salamanca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLTW
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.03.26	Bergantiños - Lealtad	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Burgos Promesas - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Bergantiños - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Bergantiños	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Bergantiños - Rayo Cantabria	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.09.25	Bergantiños - Salamanca	2:2
15.02.25	Bergantiños - Salamanca	2:1
06.10.24	Salamanca - Bergantiños	1:5
09.03.22	Bergantiños - Salamanca	2:1
19.09.21	Salamanca - Bergantiños	0:0

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