The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sarriana 23.6%
Draw 26.6%
Salamanca 49.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.3%
28.2%
44.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
28.3%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salamanca's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salamanca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sarriana - Salamanca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Marotias O. 🟥,
36', 1 - 0, Gonzalez E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Sarriana is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Salamanca has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Sarriana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sarriana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Last Results with these Odds
Sarriana - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.32%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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