The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Elche 34.2%
Draw 28.9%
Celta de Vigo 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
27.9%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.4%
28%
37.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Elche - Celta de Vigo Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Celta will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 18th in the Relegation - LaLiga2 and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 1.
Elche is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Celta has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Elche has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:15 (averaging 0.7:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Elche against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 5:6 goals (averaging 0.7:0.9 per game).
Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now
Celta Vigo: 0.3% Elche: 0.2%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Celta Vigo
7
1
4
2
8:6
2
7
18
Elche
7
1
2
4
11:17
-6
5
Last Results with these Odds
Elche - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 34.29%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Celta de Vigo - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.85%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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