Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 11

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Referee: Scatena G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Salernitana		Cesena

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.35	3.2	3	Watch
	2.38	3.22	3.34
	2.29	3.27	3.25	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.5
	2.25	3.45	3.15	Watch
	2.35	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.7)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	3.07 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
40.2%

Draw
29%

Cesena
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

29.6%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

30.5%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	60%	15%

Salernitana - Cesena Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Cesena will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fiorillo V. (C) 29. Ghiglione P. 13. Ruggeri F. 33. Ferrari G. M. 44. Jaroszynski P. 25. Maggiore G. 73. Amatucci L. 21. Soriano R. 31. Verde D. 10. Torregrossa E. 7. Tongya F.	33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. 19. Prestia G. (C) 73. Pieraccini S. 11. Ceesay J. 70. Francesconi M. 5. Mendicino L. 30. Bastoni S. 13. Celia R. 20. Tavsan E. 18. van Hooijdonk S.
Substitutes
24. Braaf J. 15. Bronn D. 12. Corriere F. (G) 23. Dalmonte N. 2. Gentile D. 8. Hrustic A. 11. Kallon Y. 17. Njoh L. 9. Simy 30. Stojanovic P. 70. Tello A. 4. Velthuis T.	17. Adamo E. 23. Antonucci M. 14. Berti T. 4. Chiarello R. 7. Donnarumma D. 8. Hraiech S. 24. Mangraviti M. 1. Pisseri M. (G) 79. Pitti E. 9. Shpendi C. 93. Siano A. (G) 27. Wade I.
Coaches
Martusciello G.	Mignani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Francesconi M. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Verde D. ⚽, Ghiglione P. (A),
22', Ceesay J. 🟨,
26', Bastoni S. 🟨,
36', Tongya F. ↓, Dalmonte N. ↑,
42', Fiorillo V. 🟥,
44', Dalmonte N. ↓, Corriere F. ↑,
45+3', 1 - 1, Tavsan E. ⚽, Ceesay J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Verde D. ↓, Njoh L. ↑,
46', Ceesay J. ↓, Antonucci M. ↑,
46', Francesconi M. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
52', Maggiore G. 🟨,
53', van Hooijdonk S. ↓, Shpendi C. ↑,
60', Bastoni S. ↓, Hraiech S. ↑,
73', Torregrossa E. ↓, Simy ↑,
73', Maggiore G. ↓, Tello A. ↑,
74', Tavsan E. ↓, Berti T. ↑,
90', Tello A. 🟨,
90+3', Ferrari G. M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 1.

Salernitana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cesena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Salernitana: Sepe L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Salernitana: Reine-Adelaide J. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
26.10.24	Cremonese - Salernitana	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Salernitana - Spezia	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Palermo - Salernitana	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	Salernitana - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.24	Udinese - Salernitana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWTL
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
26.10.24	Cesena - Brescia	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Cesena - Sampdoria	3:5 ✺
05.10.24	Pisa - Cesena	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Cesena - Mantova	4:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.24	Pisa - Cesena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
14.04.18	Salernitana - Cesena	1:1
12.11.17	Cesena - Salernitana	3:3
18.02.17	Salernitana - Cesena	1:1
19.09.16	Cesena - Salernitana	0:0
07.03.16	Cesena - Salernitana	1:2
24.10.15	Salernitana - Cesena	1:1

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