Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Pisa		Cesena

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3.2	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.95
	2.45	2.95	3.1	Watch
	2.49	3.04	3.31
	2.47	3	3.22	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3
	2.45	3.13	3.12	Watch
	2.43	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.39)	3.05 ↓ (3.1)	3.13 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
38.9%

Draw
30.9%

Cesena
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

30.6%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

31.1%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Pisa - Cesena Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Semper A. (G) 17. Rus A. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 5. Canestrelli S. 15. Toure I. 36. Piccinini G. 6. Marin M. 20. Beruatto P. 30. Arena A. 45. Lind A. 32. Moreo S.	1. Pisseri M. (G) 15. Ciofi A. 19. Prestia G. (C) 24. Mangraviti M. 11. Ceesay J. 35. Calo G. 30. Bastoni S. 13. Celia R. 10. Kargbo A. 9. Shpendi C. 23. Antonucci M.
Substitutes
28. Abildgaard O. 3. Angori S. 94. Bonfanti G. 9. Bonfanti N. 33. Calabresi A. 25. Ferrari T. 8. Hojholt M. 74. Jevsenak Z. 70. Leoncini M. 22. Loria L. (G) 1. Nicolas Andrade (G)	14. Berti T. 4. Chiarello R. 3. Curto M. 7. Donnarumma D. 70. Francesconi M. 8. Hraiech S. 33. Klinsmann J. (G) 5. Mendicino L. 26. Piacentini M. 73. Pieraccini S. 20. Tavsan E. 18. van Hooijdonk S.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Mignani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Celia R. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Lind A. ⚽, Arena A. (A),
38', 2 - 0, Canestrelli S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Celia R. ↓, Donnarumma D. ↑,
50', Marin M. 🟨,
55', 3 - 0, Donnarumma D. (Own goal),
58', Calo G. ↓, Berti T. ↑,
59', Kargbo A. ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
60', Lind A. ↓, Bonfanti N. ↑,
60', Marin M. ↓, Hojholt M. ↑,
67', Shpendi C. ↓, van Hooijdonk S. ↑,
73', Caracciolo Ant. ↓, Calabresi A. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Prestia G. ⚽,
77', Ceesay J. ↓, Hraiech S. ↑,
82', Piccinini G. ↓, Abildgaard O. ↑,
82', Moreo S. ↓, Angori S. ↑,
87', Abildgaard O. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Pisa will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Pisa: Mlakar J. (Muscle Injury) Morutan O. (Knee Injury) Vignato E. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Pisa: Esteves T. (Tendon Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pisa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Pisa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
29.09.24	Juve Stabia - Pisa	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.24	Pisa - Cesena	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
21.09.24	Pisa - Brescia	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Salernitana - Pisa	2:3 ✺
31.08.24	Pisa - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWW
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
29.09.24	Cesena - Mantova	4:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.24	Pisa - Cesena	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
21.09.24	Palermo - Cesena	0:0 ✺
13.09.24	Cesena - Modena	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	Spezia - Cesena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
25.09.24	Pisa - Cesena	0:1
Italian Serie B
08.04.17	Pisa - Cesena	0:1
13.11.16	Cesena - Pisa	2:0

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