The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Salernitana 32.6%
Draw 31.6%
SPAL 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
31.2%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.1%
22.8%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+18.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salernitana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
31%
34.5%
34.5%
Salernitana - SPAL Predictions
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 9 - 31%). SPAL will win (votes: 10 - 34.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 34.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for SPAL: 17.2% – 51.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Semitofinals) and 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals)).
Salernitana has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (72%), has a chance of promoted (19%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
SPAL has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (59%), has a small chance of promoted (11%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Salernitana is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
SPAL is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
SPAL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
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