Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 23

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Pisa		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.9	3.25	4.1
	2	3.1	4
	1.95	3.28	4.8
	1.92	3.29	4.43	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.8
	1.94	3.4	4.11	Watch
	2	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.77)	3.25 ↓ (3.62)	4.32 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
49.1%

Draw
29%

Salernitana
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

26%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

26%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	25%	16.7%

Pisa - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). Salernitana will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pisa: 41% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Semper A. (G) 17. Rus A. 5. Canestrelli S. 94. Bonfanti G. 15. Toure I. 8. Hojholt M. 6. Marin M. 3. Angori S. 32. Moreo S. 14. Meister H. 45. Lind A.	53. Christensen O. (G) 13. Ruggeri F. 33. Ferrari G. M. 47. Lochoshvili L. 29. Ghiglione P. 72. Girelli S. 73. Amatucci L. 17. Njoh L. 7. Tongya F. 31. Verde D. 90. Cerri A.
Substitutes
28. Abildgaard O. 30. Arena A. 33. Calabresi A. 22. Loria L. (G) 80. Morutan O. 1. Nicolas Andrade (G) 36. Piccinini G. 65. Sernicola L. 21. Solbakken M. 13. Sussi C. 10. Vignato E.	15. Bronn D. 18. Caligara F. 16. Corazza T. 27. Guasone J. 8. Hrustic A. 44. Jaroszynski P. 99. Raimondo A. 19. Reine-Adelaide J. 55. Sepe L. (G) 21. Soriano R. 30. Stojanovic P. 10. Torregrossa E.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Breda R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Ghiglione P. 🟨,
14', Marin M. 🟥,
19', Meister H. ↓, Abildgaard O. ↑,
22', Lochoshvili L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Njoh L. ↓, Jaroszynski P. ↑,
46', Tongya F. ↓, Reine-Adelaide J. ↑,
47', Girelli S. 🟨,
55', Ferrari G. M. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Moreo S. ⚽,
58', Girelli S. ↓, Caligara F. ↑,
58', Verde D. ↓, Raimondo A. ↑,
60', Rus A. 🟨,
71', Lind A. ↓, Calabresi A. ↑,
71', Rus A. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
78', Amatucci L. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
83', Moreo S. ↓, Mlakar J. ↑,
84', Hojholt M. ↓, Sernicola L. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pisa won 2.

Pisa is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Salernitana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Salernitana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pisa is a favorite.

There will not play in Salernitana: Gentile D. (Injury) Hrustic A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Pisa: Esteves T. (Tendon Injury) Leris M. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Pisa won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:14 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Pisa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
19.01.25	Catanzaro - Pisa	0:0 ✺
13.01.25	Pisa - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
29.12.24	Sampdoria - Pisa	0:1 ✺
26.12.24	Pisa - Sassuolo	3:1 ✺
21.12.24	Modena - Pisa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWWL
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
18.01.25	Salernitana - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Salernitana - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
29.12.24	Catanzaro - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Frosinone - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
20.12.24	Salernitana - Brescia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
15.09.24	Salernitana - Pisa	2:3
09.02.21	Pisa - Salernitana	2:2
17.10.20	Salernitana - Pisa	4:1
20.06.20	Salernitana - Pisa	1:1
29.10.19	Pisa - Salernitana	2:1
01.04.17	Pisa - Salernitana	0:1
29.10.16	Salernitana - Pisa	0:0

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