Match Info

Date: 20 February 2021, Saturday


	Ascoli		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3	3.2
	2.45	3.05	3.05	Watch
	2.39	2.95	3.05
	2.49	3.13	3.26
	2.45	3	3.1
	2.46	3.05	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.42)	3.04 ↑ (3.01)	3.13 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
38.8%

Draw
31.1%

Salernitana
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

31.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

22.9%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ascoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salernitana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.5%	48.1%	33.3%

Ascoli - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Salernitana will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 48.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.3% – 66.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals)).

Ascoli has a good chance of relegated (56%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Salernitana has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (57%), has a small chance of promoted (11%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Salernitana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
14.02.21	Reggiana - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
09.02.21	Ascoli - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
05.02.21	Lecce - Ascoli	1:2 ✺
30.01.21	Ascoli - Brescia	2:1 ✺
23.01.21	Ascoli - Chievo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 LTWWT
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
13.02.21	Salernitana - Vicenza Virtus	1:1 ✺
09.02.21	Pisa - Salernitana	2:2 ✺
06.02.21	Salernitana - Chievo	1:1 ✺
01.02.21	Reggina - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
23.01.21	Salernitana - Pescara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
24.10.20	Salernitana - Ascoli	1:0
10.07.20	Ascoli - Salernitana	3:2
30.11.19	Salernitana - Ascoli	1:1
16.02.19	Ascoli - Salernitana	2:4
25.09.18	Salernitana - Ascoli	1:1
03.03.18	Ascoli - Salernitana	1:3
07.10.17	Salernitana - Ascoli	0:0

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