Match Info

Date: 13 February 2021, Saturday


	SPAL		Empoli

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.55
	2.85	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.85	3	2.5
	2.91	3.19	2.71
	2.88	2.9	2.7
	2.92	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.73)	3.07 ↑ (3)	2.59 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
32.8%

Draw
30.8%

Empoli
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31.3%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

21.7%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SPAL that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Empoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SPAL - Empoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie A).

SPAL has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (66%), has a chance of promoted (22%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Empoli has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (31%), has a good chance of promoted (74%), has a chance of win league (46%).

SPAL is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Empoli is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie B
09.02.21	SPAL - Pordenone	1:3 ✺
06.02.21	Nuova Cosenza - SPAL	1:1 ✺
31.01.21	SPAL - Monza	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
27.01.21	Juventus - SPAL	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
24.01.21	Cremonese - SPAL	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTTLT
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
09.02.21	Empoli - Pescara	2:2 ✺
06.02.21	Monza - Empoli	1:1 ✺
30.01.21	Empoli - Frosinone	3:1 ✺
24.01.21	Lecce - Empoli	2:2 ✺
17.01.21	Empoli - Salernitana	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
20.10.20	Empoli - SPAL	2:1
Italian Serie A
20.04.19	Empoli - SPAL	2:4
01.12.18	SPAL - Empoli	2:2

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