Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 4

Date: 18 September 2023, Monday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Referee: Giua A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Sport 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	TV4
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Salernitana		Torino

	1	X	2
	3.75	3	2.2	Watch
	3.55	3.2	2.18	Watch
	3.7	3.1	2.18
	3.82	3.2	2.23
	3.25	2.9	2.1
	3.68	3.16	2.16	Watch
	3.7	3.2	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.2)	3.11 ↓ (3.29)	2.18 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
26.1%

Draw
30.5%

Torino
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

28.6%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

28.9%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Torino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torino than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
49.4%	19.5%	31.2%

Salernitana - Torino Predictions

Users Predictions: 77 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 38 - 49.4%). Torino will win (votes: 24 - 31.2%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 19.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salernitana: 38.2% – 60.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ochoa G. (G) 66. Lovato M. 23. Gyomber N. 98. Pirola L. 30. Mazzocchi P. 99. Legowski M. 8. Bohinen E. 3. Bradaric D. 87. Candreva A. (C) 21. Cabral J. 11. Botheim E.	32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 3. Schuurs P. 4. Buongiorno A. 13. Rodriguez R. (C) 19. Bellanova R. 61. Tameze A. 28. Ricci S. 20. Lazaro V. 23. Seck D. 10. Radonjic N. 91. Zapata D.
Substitutes
28. Bronn D. 56. Costil B. (G) 17. Fazio F. 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 22. Ikwuemesi C. 20. Kastanos G. 25. Maggiore G. 7. Martegani A. 6. Sambia J. 36. Sfait A. 33. Tchaouna L.	84. Antolini J. 22. Brezzo M. (G) 1. Gemello L. (G) 66. Gineitis G. 7. Karamoh Y. 77. Linetty K. 94. N'Guessan A. C. 11. Pellegri P. 9. Sanabria A. 15. Sazonov S. 93. Soppy B.
Coaches
Sousa P.	Juric I.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Torino will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Salernitana: Daniliuc F. (Surgery)

There will not play in Torino: Djidji K. (Injury) Popa M. (Injury) Vojvoda M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Salernitana: Dia B. (Injury) Maggiore G. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie A
03.09.23	Lecce - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
28.08.23	Salernitana - Udinese	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Roma - Salernitana	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
13.08.23	Salernitana - Ternana	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Salernitana - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTTWW
- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
03.09.23	Torino - Genoa	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Milan - Torino	4:1 ✺
21.08.23	Torino - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.23	Torino - FeralpiSalò	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.23	Reims - Torino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
16.04.23	Torino - Salernitana	1:1
08.01.23	Salernitana - Torino	1:1
02.04.22	Salernitana - Torino	0:1
12.09.21	Torino - Salernitana	4:0

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