Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Mbei J. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	15:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Casarano		Salernitana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.30	2.25
	2.75	3.3	2.32
	2.86	3.4	2.33
	2.79	3.35	2.32	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.25
	2.66	3.28	2.27	Watch
	2.75	3.35	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.68)	3.32 ↑ (3.11)	2.29 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casarano
33%

Draw
27.4%

Salernitana
39.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.9%

29.2%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

29.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Casarano - Salernitana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Farroni A. (G) 2. Ciotti P. 36. Matino E. 33. Mercadante M. 3. Giraudo F. 11. Ferrara V. 17. Maiello R. (C) 23. Logoluso G. 10. Chirico C. 9. Grandolfo F. 21. Zanellato N.	12. Galeotti C. (G) 73. Pieraccini S. 5. Celiento D. 33. Anastasio A. 16. Llano Massa M. T. 8. Tascone M. (C) 6. de Boer K. 32. Vitale M. 14. Villa L. 10. Lescano F. 11. D'Ursi E.
Substitutes
1. Bacchin F. (G) 37. Cuzzarella C. 29. Gyamfi B. 7. Knezovic B. 46. Leonetti V. 8. N’Diaye A. 34. Negro S. 6. Obleac M. 77. Palumbo F. 30. Podrini F. 27. Versienti L.	99. Bevilacqua M. 21. Boncori L. 19. Capuano M. 77. Cardoni K. 1. Cevers L. (G) 27. Del Pin A. 4. Gyabuaa E. 20. La Gumina A. 28. Longobardi G. 17. Varela Djamanca M. 3. Zoia R.
Coaches
Di Bari V.	Cosmi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Ferrara V. ↓, Palumbo F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Lescano F. ↓, La Gumina A. ↑,
52', Vitale M. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
53', Chirico C. 🟨,
54', Palumbo F. 🟨,
67', Zanellato N. ↓, Knezovic B. ↑,
73', Logoluso G. ↓, Cuzzarella C. ↑,
73', Matino E. ↓, Obleac M. ↑,
77', Ciotti P. 🟨,
83', Tascone M. ↓, Gyabuaa E. ↑,
90+1', de Boer K. ↓, Longobardi G. ↑,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 15th and 7th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).

In recent outings, Casarano has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Salernitana is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Salernitana may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Casarano has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 1:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Casarano against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Salernitana	11	3	5	3	14:15	-1	14
14	Casarano	11	4	2	5	13:18	-5	14

Last Results with these Odds

Salernitana - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 36.92%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
03.10.26	Sorrento - Casarano	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Casarano - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Savoia - Casarano	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Casarano - Audace Cerignola	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Casarano - Barletta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTWW
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
04.10.26	Salernitana - Bari	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Crotone - Salernitana	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Salernitana - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Barletta - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Salernitana - Potenza	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
10.02.26	Salernitana - Casarano	3:0
28.09.25	Casarano - Salernitana	2:2

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