Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Casarano		Salernitana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	3.05	2.45
	2.7	3.22	2.46	Watch
	2.59	3.13	2.40
	2.70	3.10	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.68)	3.13 ↑ (3.11)	2.45 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casarano
33.9%

Draw
29%

Salernitana
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

29.2%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

29.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Casarano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Casarano - Salernitana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 14th and 5th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).

In recent outings, Casarano has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Salernitana is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Salernitana may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Casarano has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 1:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Casarano against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Salernitana	8	3	3	2	12:10	2	12
14	Casarano	8	3	1	4	10:13	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Salernitana - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 36.92%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
03.10.26	Sorrento - Casarano	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Casarano - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Savoia - Casarano	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Casarano - Audace Cerignola	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Casarano - Barletta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTWW
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
04.10.26	Salernitana - Bari	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Crotone - Salernitana	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Salernitana - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Barletta - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Salernitana - Potenza	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
10.02.26	Salernitana - Casarano	3:0
28.09.25	Casarano - Salernitana	2:2

Casarano - Salernitana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide